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Latest Pulse Asia survey:Noynoy maintains big lead

With less than six months to go before Election Day, Liberal party’s Benigno “Noynoy” Aquino, Jr. leads the presidential race by a big margin with 44 per cent, the October 2009 survey of Pulse Asia showed.

Number two is Nacionalista candidate Manuel Villar with 19 per cent followed by party less Francis Escudero, who has yet to decide whether to push through with his presidential plan, with 13 per cent.

Former President Joseph Estrada of the Patido ng Masang Pilipino got 11 per cent, Vice President Noli de Castro who has shown no interest in joining the race with four per cent, and the Arroyo administration bet, Gilbert Teodoro of Lakas-Kampi with two per cent.

Click below for the complete survey including senatorial aspirants.

October 2009 Pulse Asia survey on 2010 candidates

In the vice-presidential race, LP’s Mar Roxas leads with 37 per cent; followed by Legarda, who is rumored to be the running mate of Villar with 23 per cent, and Makati Mayor Jojo Binay, running mate of Estrda with 13 per cent. Lakas-Kampi’s vice presidential bet Edu Manzano had not yet announced his candidacy when the survey was conducted.

The survey fieldwork was conducted from October 22 to 30, 2009 using face-to-face
interviews with 1,800 respondents.

The period of interview was immediately after or during the following news headlines: (1) the formal
declaration of former President Joseph Estrada of his bid for the presidency in 2010 and
questions raised regarding the legality of this bid; (2) Senator Loren Legarda’s
declaration of her plans for the May 2010 elections and Department of Interior and Local
Government (DILG) Secretary Ronaldo V. Puno’s withdrawal from the vice-presidential
race;; (3) Senator Francis G. Escudero’s departure from the Nationalist People’s
Coalition (NPC); (4) the continuing search for a running mate by both Department of
National Defense (DND) Secretary Gilbert C. Teodoro, Jr. and Senator Manuel B. Villar,
Jr.; (4) the long lines of late registrants catching the last days of registration for the May
2010 elections; (5) the resignation of Department of Public Works and Highways
(DPWH) Secretary Hermogenes E. Ebdane Jr.; (6) continuing relief efforts in the
aftermath of typhoons Ondoy and Pepeng, as well as the arrival of two new storms; and
(7) the freeze on oil prices and other energy products, as well as basic commodities,
imposed by the government.

In the senatorial race, those who are figuring in the top 15 are: Jinggoy Estrada;. Miriam Defensor-Santiago; Franklin M. Drilon; Pia S. Cayetano; Ramon Revilla; Jejomar Binay; Mar Roxas; Jamby Madrigal; Aquilino L. Pimentel; Ralph Recto; Sergio Osmeña III; Vicente Sotto; Willie Revillame; Juan Ponce-Enrile: and Edu Manzano.

Published in2010 elections

58 Comments

  1. Phil Cruz Phil Cruz

    Noynoy’s lead over his next opponent Villar is really still very wide margin.

    It’s 131% bigger then Villar’s.

    No wonder Villar is getting desperate and has started to take potshots at Noynoy this early.

    Clearly it’s a Noynoy vs Villar battle for 2010.

  2. Oblak Oblak

    Base sa Table 1, malaki talaga ang lamang ng No. 1 sa No. 2 mapa NCR, Luzon, Visayas at Mindanao at sa Class ABC, D and E.

    Malakas si Noynoy sa Visayas at sa ABC class.

    Sa table 4, ang hindi pagkukurakot ang No. 1 na dahilan. Nakakpagtaka lang na No. 4 reason lang ang reputasyon ng pamilya. Inaasahan ng marami na ang reputasyon ng Aquino family ang nagdadala kay Noynoy.

    Asahan na ang sunod sunod na pagbato ng putik kay Noynoy. Mag ingat lang sila at tandaan ang 1998 na kahit ano ang ibato kay Erap, nanalo pa rin.

  3. henry90 henry90

    Noynoy bashers should work double time. . . .more trumped-up charges please. . .

  4. Oblak Oblak

    Pareng Henry, madami dami ka na namang sasalagin nyan!

    Sa ngayon, ang naiisip ko na pwedeng ibato kay Noynoy:

    1. Hacienda Luisita pa rin kasama na massacre at SCTEX
    2. Mendiola Masacre
    3. Kris Aquino’s past indiscretions
    4. Cory’s Presidency
    5. Lack of experience as a legislator and manager
    6. Bakit binata pa rin? o Bading ba sya?
    7. Parang abnoy.

  5. Gabriela Gabriela

    What will bash Noynoy, not necessarily this election but when he gets to Malacañang is hubris, kayabangan, of people around him.

  6. Mike Mike

    I still think it’s a close fight between Noynoy, Villar & Erap (until he is disqualified). It’s still a long way and there are surely issues against these candidates that will crop up. By the way, Erap’s teflon days are over after his conviction and accepting the pardon of Gloria. Most of the names he announced that would be included in his senatorial line up is abandoning him, like Gen. Lim, Edu, etc..

  7. Mike Mike

    Even Erap’s BFF’s wife is more supportive of Chiz, same goes with Grace Poe.

  8. Destroyer Destroyer

    Pulse Asia survey! Hindi accurate ang mga figures. Sa atin basta may pera ka pwede kang ilagay sa No.1 pera-pera lang yan lalo na walang basis. Napakadaling gumawa o mag imbento ng numero.

    Sabi nga ni Oblak meron 7 ibabato kay Noynoy aka Abnoy para tuluyan na siyang bumagsak…. lalo na sa issue ng No. 1 & 2.

    Walang bulok na hindi lilitaw talaga. Yung issue last week tungkol kay ninoy at sa huk… luma na yan pero marami sa atin dito na ngayon lang nalaman ang totoong pagkatao ni ninoy at sa pamilya niya. Halos lahat ng matatanda sa aming probinsya sa tarlac meron trauma sa pamilyang aquino.

  9. Rudolfo Rudolfo

    Para sa aking pananaw,mas okay na maging pangulo, and di masyadong, marunong sa corruption, may ugaling transparent,maka-Diyos, Maka-Tao at Maka-bayan. Mahirap magkaroon ng mga MAGAGALING (sa lahat ng bagay,professions,
    dahil, magaling mag-paikot-ikot, maglaro, at salamangka ng
    Saligang Batas ).Ang LP ay mas-malakas ngayon, dahil nandito ang mga kandidato na may katangian na nabangit. Ngunit,3-4-lamang yata sa mga senador ( Gen. D. Lim, R.Hontiveros, S. Roco, R.Recto or S. Osmena ) ang ma-aasahan. Sa iba naman kumuha ng 4-din para balanse.Sa mga
    babae, subukan naman natin si Sonia Roco ( para mabuhay ang
    adhikain ng asawang Raul Roco ).

  10. olan olan

    Malaki lamang ni Noynoy..lalo na kung susuportahan pa siya ni Chiz…sa mga senador naman..mukhang balanse ang representasyon…may ilan sa kanan, kaliwa, tradpol at meron din moderate..Madala sana si Gen D. Lim, T. Guingona Jr., Risa Hontiveros at Sonia Roco!

  11. Bonizal Bonizal

    Ralph “VATman” Recto kasali sa senatorial lineup nila? baka maiwan ng mga kasama nya hehehe.

  12. Pareng Henry, madami dami ka na namang sasalagin nyan!

    Sa ngayon, ang naiisip ko na pwedeng ibato kay Noynoy:

    1. Hacienda Luisita pa rin kasama na massacre at SCTEX
    2. Mendiola Masacre
    3. Kris Aquino’s past indiscretions
    4. Cory’s Presidency

    Guilty by association/ relation?

    5. Lack of experience as a legislator and manager
    6. Bakit binata pa rin? o Bading ba sya?
    7. Parang abnoy.

    Isyu ba yan?

    Kung yan lang ang mga isyung ibabato, kahit di na salagin, oks lang, hehehe.

  13. Oblak Oblak

    Ka Enchong, iyan naman ang palaging binabato kay Noynoy. Iikot at iikot lang. Unless may bagong lalabas sa headline ng Tribune, iyan pa rin ang mga issues. Maiiba lang din ang treatment ng lumang issues kung bibigyan ng side view, rear view o front view ng Tribune.

  14. liczar liczar

    If there is ONE thing that the surveys or the SPIN MASTERS failed to magnify on Noynoy that is – his declining ratings. From a touted more than 50% or 60% or so rating from pollsters, Noynoy is now at 44% and the election is still far away with the campaign period not yet officially on.

    If the trend goes this way, its not too far that Noynoy may well suffer the fate of Senator Roco who was rating high in pre-campaign surveys but eventually ended losing the presidential race. Noynoy may well suffer the same scenario given that its not everyday that his mother will die and be the talk of the nation, not unless the media most notably ABS-CBN will play it up once more and be Noynoy’s unofficial publicist.

  15. Oblak Oblak

    Lizcar, this is the first time that Pulse Asia released a survey where Aquino is included as a candidate. Hence, no decline yet.

    The 50 or more percent was reflected in the SWS survey. When SWS releases its new survey, that is the only time we will know if there is a decline (or an increase)

    In the case of Senator Roco, his gradual decrease was occasioned by the increase in the ratings of the other candidates (Erap and JDV in 1998 and GMA and FPJ in 2004) If we will use the Purse Asia Survey as a gauge of decrease/increase in relation to September SWS survey:

    Aquino 44% (PA), 60% (SWS) -16
    Villar 19% (PA), 37% (SWS) -18
    Escudero 13% (PA), 15% (SWS) -2
    Estrada 11% (PA), 18% (SWS)-7
    Teodoro 2% (PA), 4% (SWS)-2

    This is hardly the Roco factor (based on your assumptions) as all candidates suffered decreases or no candidate registered an increase.

  16. …not unless the media most notably ABS-CBN will play it up once more and be Noynoy’s unofficial publicist.

    Is this much talked about ABS-CBN connection really there? I am a TFC subscriber and I do follow news and public affairs programs both on TFC and ANC. I personally see no hint of bias towards Noynoy. I’d say, they’re covering Erap more in their programs. As to advertisements, only Manny Villar’s ‘infommercials’ are getting through.

    This morning’s ANC coverage of developments gave even more time to Gibo’s turnover to Gonzales than to Noy-Mar’s nomination acceptance.

  17. Oblak Oblak

    Ka Enchong, i think it is a matter of perception. ABS CBN is a business entity and the main concern is profit. There are more villar ads and teodoro ads than Noynoy ads but everytime the Noynoy video is shown, which is not frequent, the conclusion is that ABS CBN is pushing for his candidacy.

    For ABS CBN, the more political ads, the better for its coffer. At this time, ABS CBN need not support a particular candidate as it has learned the art of protecting its business interests whether it aligns or be critical of the incumbent president.

  18. henry90 henry90

    “Pareng Henry, madami dami ka na namang sasalagin nyan!

    Sa ngayon, ang naiisip ko na pwedeng ibato kay Noynoy:

    1. Hacienda Luisita pa rin kasama na massacre at SCTEX
    2. Mendiola Masacre
    3. Kris Aquino’s past indiscretions
    4. Cory’s Presidency
    5. Lack of experience as a legislator and manager
    6. Bakit binata pa rin? o Bading ba sya?”

    Pareng Oblak:

    Exactly! These are also what I enumerated doon sa kabilang thread. I expect the Noy haters to up the tempo. They have alot of catching up to do. Nagreresearch pa siguro sa internet. Tribune? Who reads it? Ano ang national circulation nyan? I am sure marami ang umuusok sa pinaghalong galit at inggit dyan. But people no better. You’re right. Circa 98 uli tayo. . . Banat mga kapatid!
    7. Parang abnoy.

  19. henry90 henry90

    people know better

  20. …but everytime the Noynoy video is shown, which is not frequent, the conclusion is that ABS CBN is pushing for his candidacy.

    Perception, it is. Anyhow, Noynoy is already doing good even without ABS-CBN actually chipping in.

    I may not be 100% for Noynoy. It’s just that I am 100% against most of those who already threw in their lots… My own perception, hehehe.

  21. chi chi

    Oh, that’s why Money Villar is working double time, 19% six months to election day! No surprise why he’s making kulapol of his same sin to Noy.

    Buti pa yung manok ko 13% hindi pa sigurado kung lalaban o hindi. If Chiz decides not to run, a big chunk of his voters will go Noynoy, too. Alangan naman na ang kabataan e pumunta kay Villar, Erap, Gibo o Ebdane.

  22. henry90 henry90

    Where are the Noy haters? It seems like no one among them find the title of this thread amusing. . .Yohooo! Anyone out there? Just kidding. . .make ur bets work double time gents. . . E-day is fast approaching. . .oops. . . meron bang election talaga?

  23. Mike Mike

    @ henry90 : “…. meron bang election talaga?”

    Ewan lang, tanong mo kay Bert Gonzales. 😛

  24. saxnviolins saxnviolins

    Okay henry90. I am making my bet.

    If Noynoy wins, name your charity, and I will donate $50. If he loses, donate any amount of your choosing to the Red Cross.

    Sorry for the minuscule amount. I do not have big clients like the fat one.

  25. henry90 henry90

    Sax:

    Ok lang sa Red Cross. At least our money’s in good hands. . .hehe

  26. Gabriela Gabriela

    Henry, hubris, hubris.

    You are looking for Noy haters? Don’t worry Henry, with mayabang people like you, you will not have a hard time finding them.

    That’s what turns me off of the Noynoy camp. Kung umasta sila akala mo hulog ng langit ni Noynoy sa taumbayan. wala pa sila nyan sa Malacanang ha.

  27. parasabayan parasabayan

    Gabriela, ditto! Marami pang mga rigodon ng mga kandidato. I will just keep quiet and watch for now. Kung minsan, yung nangunguna sa umpisa eh nawawalan ng hangin sa bandang huli.

  28. henry90 henry90

    Gabriela:

    Wag ka sumali sa usapan. . .di kita kabiruan kaya pikon ka. . .tumira ka lang diyan kung gusto mo at di kita pakikialaman. . . bawal dito ang pikon, yung name-calling kung gusto mo. . . sensya ka na kung ngayon ka lang nagcocomment dito. . .mayayabang talaga tao dito. . .kanya-kanyang puri sa kanya-kanyang kandidato and nobody will take it against you. . .meron pa nga nagmumura pag nangungulelat mga manok nila pero never na directed yun sa blogger. . .sige lang. . .naiintindihan kita kasi kulelat siguro manok mo. . .pero kung sakali mang manguna aba e di magyabang ka rin at mang-alaska at mapapansin mo, walang tatawag sa yo na mayabang ka. . banat ka lang diyan kung gusto mo. . .wag mo kong pansinin. . .para di ka mapraning. . .ikaw naman. . .pasttime lang to. . .wag mong dibdibin. . .ok doki?

  29. Gabriela Gabriela

    Henry, ako ay simpleng botante. Manalo man o matalo ang aking kandidato, ako mamamayang Pilipino pa rin.

    Kung mananalo si Noynoy, kailangan niya ang suporta ng mamamayang Pilipino. Ang suporta ng taumbayan ay hindi nakukuha sa yabang. Gawaing mabuti. Wala pa tayo dyan.

  30. florry florry

    Henry, you are just being paranoid. Nobody hates anybody. Nobody hates Noynoy. Bloggers here are civilized and are here to air their comments and if it happens to be against your choice, and that is Noynoy it doesn’t mean that they hate him. It’s a matter of choice on who they think can serve the people of this country. That’s how democracy works, free to make a choice. You’re exposing yourself to ridicule by celebrating too early in the game by the result of a survey. Don’t do a chimpanzee-act who thumps its breast as a way of boasting a conquest. What you’re counting are still unhatched eggs. Baka lang maraming bugok na kasama diyan.

  31. I think Escudero is out of the picture…

  32. I still am waiting for Aquino’s platform — he’s got to earn my vote. I’m not one who can be easily hoodwinked by names or pedigrees.

    Nothing like a good intelligent presentation of his do’s and dont’s to convince me that he is fit and qualified to be president of this country.

    Let’s see if the man has substance.

  33. Bring it on Noynoy Aquino!

  34. henry90 henry90

    Gabriela:

    O di ba mas maganda kung mahinahon kang magsalita? Mas mauunawaan pa kita. Pls understand that bloggers here don’t know each other personally save for a few perhaps like the owner of this blog, Mam Ellen and her sukis na. I would appreciate it very much if we don’t resort to name-calling even if we get so impassioned by the topic at hand. That is always the case here. It comes with the territory. Fair game lahat ng mga kandidato lalo na pag ang kalaban ay si Gloria. It has got to be nothing personal between the bloggers though. Kantyawan lang ng manok. Malay ba ng mga manok natin ang pinaggagawa natin dito. We’re doing them a favor. I don’t get anything for it. So be cool, ok? Salamat.

  35. perl perl

    Latest Pulse Asia survey:Noynoy maintains big lead
    This is GOOD News!!!

  36. balweg balweg

    Latest Pulse Asia survey:Noynoy maintains big lead
    This is GOOD News!!!

    Well, Perl! No comment except…ang paghihirap natin ngayon since 2001 e gawa ng Yellow wannabees and other bystanders na Pinoy?

    Di na kailangang maulit ito sapagka’t ginawa na nila ang lahat upang mabago ang takbo ng pamamalakad sa bansa pero ANO ang nangyari? WALA di ba…..?

    So, ang Yellow Fever ay di sagot sa ating mga problemang kinakaharap sapagka’t sila ng isa sa ugat nito kung kaya tayo naghihirap.

    Nagbabangong puri sila pero para ANO? Muling linglangin ang taong-bayan…NO WAY!

    Makikita nila ang pagpapasya ng Masang Pilipino…accountable silang lahat sa ginawa nilang pagdusta sa karapatang pantao ng Masang Pilipino at paglabag nila sa ating Saligang Batas ng nagkudeta sila last 2001!

    Ngayon…e magsisihirit na kesyo ang Yellow Fever ang sagot saan? Nakatarak sa puso ng Masang Pilipino ang ginawa nila noong EDSA DOS at Hello Garci scams!

    Mga traydor sila sa totoo lang…masakit pakinggan pero yang ang tunay na katotohanan!

  37. balweg balweg

    Kung mananalo si Noynoy, kailangan niya ang suporta ng mamamayang Pilipino. Ang suporta ng taumbayan ay hindi nakukuha sa yabang. Gawaing mabuti. Wala pa tayo dyan?
    Natumbok mo Kgg. Gabriela, alam mo di ako mapalagay…i bet na di mananalo si Yellow Fever, bakit ka mo…ganito yan, accountable ang Yellow wannabees sa pagdusta sa karapatang pantao at pagdusta sa 11 milyong rehistradong botante na malayang naghalal ng inaakala nila na mag-aahon sa kanil sa kahirapan ng buhay.

    Pero ano ang ginawa ng mga nagmamarunong sa ating lipunan sa pangunguna ng mga civil socialites, taong Simbahan, disgruntled Generals, tradpols and KSP/SSP bystanders?

    Di matatapos ang isyung ito hangga’t ang boses ng Masang Pilipino ay igagalang ng mga elitistang civil socialites sa ating lipunan.

    Kailangang tuldukan ito sa 2010 upang matapos na ang bangayan sa paglilingkod-bayan at di paglilingkod-bulsa? Pagtalo e magsitahimik at tumulong na lamang sa mananalong Pangulo ng bansa.

    Pero yong mga traydor sa ating lipunan e di yan magsisitigil kasi mga gahaman sa kapangyarihan? Ito dapat ang dapat malipol sa ating lipunan para tumahimik ang bansa.

  38. Oblak Oblak

    Pareng Balweg, paki correct ako kung mali ang nakukuha ko sa mga sinasabi mo. Ayon ba sa iyo, dapat si Estrada ang ibotong pangulo dahil sa siya ang boses ng Masang Pilipino?

  39. henry90 henry90

    Perl:

    Tama na, puede ba? Nakakasakit ka na ng damdamin e. . .wag mo nang ipagsigawan ang obvious. . .Iyan na nga ang title nang thread na to e. . don’t fan the flames. . .marami nang napapaso dito. . .hehe

  40. Gabriela Gabriela

    Henry, please review the chronology of comments. Sino ang pikon?

    What name calling are you talking about? I said “hubris”:
    Overbearing pride or presumption; arrogance.

    Pagyayabang comes with the territory? Kaya pala.

  41. The Hacienda Luisita case puts many issues in their proper perspective.

  42. Oblak Oblak

    Part one pa lang yung article sa GMAnews. Let us wait for the concluding part. So far, the issues are placed in the perspective of the workers’ union.

    Let us see if the concluding part will feature the actual corporate officers running/managing/controlling the hacienda.

    I wont be surprised if the article will go the way of “Etta writes Noynoy on Hacienda Luisita”, a previous post in this blog.

  43. Oblak Oblak

    Ms. Ellen, dito ka na lang ilagay ang comment ko at related naman sa president and vice president candidates.

    Na announce na ang Villar-Legarda tandem para sa May 2010. Si Ms. Loren naman, pumartner na hindi muna inalis yung tirada nya kay Villar sa kanyang website.

    Bago maalis ang statement, eto yung link sa website ni Loren Legarda:

    http://www.lorenlegarda.com.ph/article-1248936897.html

  44. henry90 henry90

    Gabriela:

    If u don’t know the history of our kantyawan here, going back to the previous posts, then that’s it for me. I know what is hubris. Why are u so affected? Think for a moment that it was not you I was addressing at in that previous post. Look, I don’t even know u. So why are u overly defensive? Pls take everything in stride. If u read again my post, u would even see “just kidding”. . .It’s my way of an invitation to a spirited debate on the topic at hand and not to taunt people here. If that’s “too mayabang” for you, then I couldn’t do anything about it. It’s like saying na sobra ang yabang ng lahat ng mga Filipino these days dahil sa ginawa ni Manny Pacquiao. Is that hubris? Because not a few people are gloating over that win at the expense of Cotto’s disfigured face. C’mon. Be a good sport. Btw, u are a filipino, aren’t u? So, u should know what I’m saying. . Stop whining please. . . .salamat uli. . .;

  45. chi chi

    So what’s new about the tandem of Money-Sinta? Bulok na balita na yan, pinipilit lang na gawing bago.

    Wala tayong paki sa dalawa, di ba Oblak?

  46. chi chi

    Korek, Anna…aatras na yata ang manok ko.

  47. Oblak Oblak

    Madam Chi, one word lang sa tandem nina Manny-Loren: Bilasa

  48. Oblak Oblak

    Loren vs. Mar. Labanang Loren vs. Korina din. Magpapagandahan ang mga posters ni Loren at ni Korina na katabi si Mar. Hinhintayin ko din na may patutsadahan ang dalawang dilag during the campaign period.

  49. Chi,

    Yep! Would be difficult to go over his rivals’ momentum. Maybe in 6 years time?

  50. florry florry

    What is the percentage of 1800 respondents against 40million registered voters?

  51. ADB, Chi, In six years time, hinog na si Sonny Boy!

  52. Oblak Oblak

    Ms. Florry, ganito yata yan:

    1. Kapag leading ang manok sa survey – The survey though with 1800 respondents was conducted in accordance with sound methodology and representative of the whole.

    2. Kapag kulelat ang manok sa survey – The survey was participated by only a fraction of one percent, which is not a sound methodology and not representative of the whole.

    Either way, mas masarap pa rin ang feeling kung mataas sa survey ang manok na lumalaban.

  53. chi chi

    Tongue,

    Ano pa nga ba? Wala ng iba pa…Sonny Boy Trillanes sa susunod! Ang aga, hehehe!

  54. Phil Cruz Phil Cruz

    I don’t get it.

    The Noynoy bashers are bashing him for the Hda. Luisita issue. He and his siblings own only 4% pala of the estate. they hardly have any voice in this corporation. It’s like bashing Gloria’s cook for what’s happening to the whole country.

    Ah, but I get it pala. He’s leading in the surveys.

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