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Category: surveys

Another survey, different findings

Yesterday, Pulse Asia released its latest survey conducted March 21- 28 which showed Liberal Party’s Benigno “Noynoy” Aquino III (35 percent) maintaining his 12 point lead over Nacionalista Party’s Manuel Villar (27 percent).

Partido ng Masang Pilipino’s Joseph Estrada was third with 18 percent followed by Lakas-Kampi-CMD’s Gilbert Teodoro with 7 percent. The rest of the presidential candidates got two percent or less.

But there’s another survey I got last Sunday which showed a different standing of the presidential candidates.
The survey firm, Campaigns and Images Group, and its research arm, “Tools and Strategy, Philippines” are new to me. Their analyst is Aniceto “Abbey” Canturias.

An Internet search shows Canturias is no stranger in market research. In 1991, he, along with newspaper publishers and editors, formed the Campaigns & Image Group. Through his PR management, Canturias worked in the successful vice presidential bid of Sen. Joseph Estrada in 1992. He also was Visayas Bureau chief of The Manila Times from October 1999 to March 2001 and editor in chief of The Freeman Mindanao from August 1995 until September 1999.

CIG’s survey, which is given to Philippine and foreign clients, is much more detailed. Their base is 2,550 respondents. They have focused surveys on different age groups and economic sector.

The result of their survey, conducted April 1 to 4, on the most likely winner in the May 10 elections has Villar, Aquino, Teodoro in the top, in that order.

Aquino maintains significant lead over Villar in Pulse Asia’s March 21-28 survey

Liberal Party (LP) presidential candidate Senator Benigno “Noynoy” C. Aquino III, scoring a 37% voting preference, continues to lead the other presidential contenders. In second place is Senator Manuel “Manny” Villar (Nacionalista Party [NP]) with 25% voter support.

Former President Joseph “Erap” Ejercito Estrada is the only other candidate with double digit support, at 18%, while the other candidates register single digit voter preferences—LAKAS-KAMPI-CMD Gilberto “Gibo” Teodoro with 7%;Bagumbayan standard-bearer Senator Richard “Dick” J. Gordon at 2%; and, Bangon Pilipinas candidate Brother Eddie Villanueva, with 2% voter preference.

Nine percent of the survey respondents refused or remained undecided as to their presidential preference.

LP’s Mar Roxas also continues to maintain a big lead (20 points) over NP’s Loren Legarda.

Revilla and Jinggoy take the lead in latest Pulse Asia survey

Pulse Asia’s score card based ontheir Jan 22 – 26 nationawide survey among 1,800 respondents with a +/-2 margin.
The top 12:
1. Bong Revilla
2. Jinggoy Estrada
3. Pia Cayetano
4. Frank Drilon
5. Miriam Santiago
6. Juan Ponce Enrile
7. Ralph Recto
8. Serge Osmeña
9. Tito Sotto
10. Lito Lapid
11. Bongbong Marcos
12. Joey de Venecia

Currently leading the senatorial race is Senator Revilla whose overall voter preference of 51.9% translates to a statistical ranking of 1st to 2nd places, putting him in a virtual tie with Senator Estrada (50.4%), who is ranked 1st to 3rd. Meanwhile, Senator Pilar Juliana S. Cayetano (46.8%) is ranked 2nd to 4th, slightly ahead of former Senate President Franklin M. Drilon (43.2%) who ranks 3rd to 6th. Tied from 4th to 6th places are Senator Miriam Defensor-Santiago (41.2%) and incumbent Senate President Juan Ponce Enrile (39.7%).

Mahigpit na ang laban

Dapat pasiglahin na ni Noynoy Aquino ang kanyang kampanya.

Kahapon lumabas ang pinakabagong survey ng Pulse Asia kung saan halos pantay na si Sen. Benigno “Noynoy” Aquino III at Sen. Manuel Villar, Jr. sa mga nangunguna sa presidential race.

Sa survey na ginawa ng Pulse Asia noong Enero 22 hanggang 26 sa 1,800 sa buong bansa, 37% ang nakuha ni Noynoy at 35% ang kay Villar.

Dahil plus at minus two percent ang survey, sabi ng Pulse Asia halos tie na yan sila.

Aquino lead over Villar down to 7% in latest SWS poll

Highlights of SWS survey conducted last Jan. 21 -24 commissioned by Businessworld:

Aquino lead over Villar down to 7 per cent
Roxas widens lead over Legarda by 21 points; Binay improves numbers
Revilla,Estrada, Cayetano, Defensor-Santiago post early lead in Senate race

Jan. 21-24 survey
Jan. 21-24 survey

Villar gains ground versus Aquino … while Erap stays in third

Liberal Party standard-bearer Benigno Simeon “Noynoy” C. Aquino III remains the top pick among the 10 presidential aspirants green-lighted by the Commission on Elections (Comelec) but the Nationalista Party’s (NP) Sen. Manuel “Manny” B. Villar appears to be fast catching up.

With the campaign period yet to officially start, a new BusinessWorld-Social Weather Stations (SWS) survey found 42% of respondents saying they would vote for Mr. Aquino, four points down from the 46% who said so in an early December poll that was also commissioned by this newspaper.

Over the period Mr. Villar, Mr. Aquino’s top challenger, picked up eight points to secure the nod of 35%, up from 27%.

No, no, no, to Gloria Arroyo beyond June 2010

70% oppose Cha-Cha to extend PGMA’s term;55% believe she is behind current Cha-Cha efforts

Social Weather Station asked respondents, “Kayo po ba ay sang-ayon o hindi sang-ayon sa Charter Change na papayagan si Pangulong Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo na manatili bilang Pinunong opisyal ng Pilipinas nang lampas sa Hunyo 30, 2010?” (Are you for or against a Charter Change that will allow President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo to still be the chief official of the Philippines after June 30, 2010?).

The answer of 70 per cent was a resounding “No.”

SWS again asked if they believed “that Pres. Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo is behind the current efforts to amend the Constitution in order to extend her term beyond 2010” (“na si Pang. Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo ang nasa likod ng kasalukuyang tangkang pagbabago ng Konstitusyon upang palawigin ang kanyang termino lagpas sa 2010”) and majority (55 percent) said “Yes”.

Mar Roxas improves numbers in latest Pulse Asia survey

mr-padyak Looks like Sen.Mar Roxas “padyak” ads are effective in making people notice him. Or maybe because of his crusade against Legacy owner Celso de los Angeles whom he accused of swindling thousands of plan holders. Or it could be the “Korina Sanchez” factor.

Whatever it is, the latest survey of Pulse Asia showed Roxas’ rating improving by five percent while that other presidential aspirants either slightly declined or remained the same, except for Sen. Loren Legarda, whose numbers dipped by five percent.

In the survey on presidential preference conducted May 4 to 17, 2009, Roxas rating went up to 13 percent from eight percent in the survey conducted February 2 to 15, 2009.

Maaring ipilit ni Arroyo ang sarili

Sa tatlong taong tinanong ng Social Weather Station kung gusto pa nila na si Gloria Arroyo pa rin ang nasa Malacañang paglampas ng June 30, 2010, dalawa ang nagsabing “ayaw ko.”

Ngunit ang tanong: may epekto ba ito kay Arroyo, sa kanyang pamilya at sa kanyang mga alagad? Kung meron man, yun ay lalong maghahanap ng iba pang paraan na tuloy ang kailang ligaya lampas ng 2010 at kung hindi talaga mapalawig ang pagpanatili sa kapangyarihan, paano nila mapruteksyunan ang kanilang sarili.

Nilabas ng SWS noong Martes ang survey na kanilang isinagawa noong Pebrero 20-23 sa tanong na, “Kayo po ba ay sang-ayon o hindi sang-ayon sa Charter Change na papayagan si Pangulong Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo na manatili bilang PINUNONG OPISYAL NG PILIPINAS nang lampas sa Hunyo 30, 2010?”