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Power of might over right

The latest launching tests by North Korea of shortrange and intercontinental missiles last week has renewed concern of an arms race in Asia.

In 2003, Thomas Omestad, in an article in US News, painted this scenario: “Faced with a nuclear breakout by a hostile regime, Japan reconsiders its antinuclear taboos, fields a larger missile force of its own, and plunges into developing a shield against incoming missiles with the United States. South Korea, with one eye on the North and the other on Japan, follows suit. China reacts with more nukes and missiles of its own. Taiwan, outgunned, opts for more missiles and, perhaps, nuclear bombs. A nervous Russia shifts nuclear and conventional forces for defense against its old rivals, China and Japan. India, a foe of China, expands its nuclear forces, a step that causes Pakistan to do likewise. An Asian arms race snaps into high gear.”

Hideaki Kaneda, a retired vice admiral of Japan’s Self-Defense Forces and director of the Okazaki Institute in Tokyo, said in an article the arms race across Asia is already underway and North Korea’s testing last week confirmed it.

He said most Southeast Asian countries are busy modernizing their armed forces and he mentioned Indonesia, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam. As expected, the Philippines was mentioned only as a recipient of two used patrol boats from South Korea.

Military analysts say that North Korea’s attainment of nuclear capability is the most serious threat to global stability.

That may be so but then the US, which has an ample share of long- range missiles in its arsenal, should be credited for setting the example of the power of might over right. That doctrine was highlighted in the US invasion of Iraq in March 2003. Massive firepower and superior technological warfare, all seen in real time all over the world, sent strongman Saddam Hussein scampering to a foxhole.

It didn’t matter that Iraq’s weapons of mass destruction that George Bush used as justification for the invasion turned out to be fiction. The point has been made: international law is mute against superior firepower.

North Korea’s Kim Jong Il must have learned his lesson well from Bush because it brushed aside international criticism of its missile tests by threatening to fire off more rockets. Pyongyang’s foreign ministry released a defiant statement saying, “Our military will continue with missile launch drills in the future as part of efforts to strengthen self-defense deterrent. If anyone intends to dispute or add pressure about this, we will have to take stronger physical actions in other forms.”

The statement further said: “The successful missile launches were part of our military’s regular military drills to strengthen self defense. As a sovereign country, this is our legal right and we are not bound by any international law or bilateral or multilateral agreements.”

At least, you can credit Kim Jong Il with being straightforward which you cannot say of Bush when he was trying to twist UN conventions to suit his violation of international law against Iraq.

That’s why I’m curious what could have been Kim Jong Il’s reaction to Arroyo’s statement of condemnation of his missile tests, assuming that he even bothered to read it. She also told North Korea “to refrain from further compromising the peace and security of the region and of the world.”

Our colleague, JB Baylon, wrote a witty piece last Friday aptly titled “A mouse roars” on Arroyo’s laughable statement that looked more aimed at impressing Bush.

Reports about North Korea developing long-range missiles that could target as far as the United States had been out for sometime and in media briefings, Philippine defense officials seriously doubt that the country would be dragged into hostilities in the Korean peninsula. The spillover that they anticipate would be evacuations of Koreans to the country.

Foreign and defense officials say the Mutual Defense Treaty with the United States cannot be invoked because there’s no provision about an attack with neighbors like Japan, Korea or Taiwan or other US interests in these countries.

Unless Gloria Arroyo, anxious for Bush’s support for her illegitimate presidency, would voluntarily drag the Philippines into the Korean peninsula conflict just like when she was the first one to volunteer to the Coalition of the Willing against Iraq. (She became “unwilling” when truckdriver Angelo de la Cruz was kidnapped in Iraq in 2004.)

Last March, the Japanese foreign minister told the Japan Diet (Parliament) that American forces in Okinawa are interested to relocate and exercise in the Philippines. It would be a strange arrangement wherein the Philippines would be hosting American forces that are supposed to defend Japan.Philippine defense officials reacted strongly against it.

With the threat of North Korea becoming more urgent for Japan, there’s no saying how much pressure it is exerting on the Philippines and how easy it would be for a beleaguered Arroyo to cave in.

Published inForeign AffairsMalayaMilitary

381 Comments

  1. vonjovi1 vonjovi1

    Hi Ellen,

    Okey lang mag try ulit ang North Korea for Missile long range nila kung ang isusunod na pag lipad ng missile ay sa MALACANYANG na at iyung walang Nuclear na laman basta ordinary bomb na makakapatay or makakawalis sa mga MAGNANAKAW at make sure na nandoon lahat ang mga ulupong para matapos na ang pag hihirap ng Bansa natin.

    To North Korea just one more missile and please aim to Mrs. Reynang Magnanakaw alyas Gluria Makapal Arrovo Pidal and the co.

    Please ….. please… (he,he) pasensiya na kayo out of topic ako imbes na patigilin ang North Korea ay iba ang nasasabi ko… opinyon ko lang naman ito ..

    Masyado na kasing ma traffic dito sa Recto at Nag papa hangin or nag papalamig ako sa Isetann…..

  2. magdalo_you magdalo_you

    Ellen,

    Sana ikaw na lang yung nakidnap sa iraq na driver na si angelo de la cruz, tingnan ko lang kung hindi magmakaawa ang pamilya kay madam presedente, para palayain ka, wisk ko lang ikaw na lang sana!!

    Yung nasa taas eh lagi ka namg out of topic,magpasagasa ka na lang dyan sa recto, para naman pakinabangan pa ng ating medical student yang bangkay mo, di may silbi ka pa, para di ka na naiinitan lagi kang malamig na bangkay. ayos ba vonjobi.

    Ellen wag mo ng pakialaman yang panglabas na isyo na yan it does not concern you.

  3. Hindi biro ito.
    Oras na patualn ng allied forces ang Korea at kung sino man ang nagpapalakas ng loob nito…World War III na!

    Di pwede ang IRAQ style sugod dito.Pero di rin pwede isipin ng mga allied forces that they only want more aid and attention.

    Tandaan natin meron pang Iran,at ang away bati na India at Pakistan, na pag tinopak ang current or future leader nito …Tapos na!

  4. magdalo_you magdalo_you

    Ellen

    Hindi naman katulad ng mga utak nyo at ng mga taga oposisyon, ang utak nitong mga lider North korea, it means malawak ang pag iisip nitong lider nila, wala sa isip nila ang mga ganitong senaryo,

    Hay naku ang dyaryo talaga ito ang nagpapagrabe ng sitwasyon, kayong mga walang kwentang mga kulumnista sa dyaryo ang gumagawa ng apoy para lamng may maisulat kayo, hindi nyo iniisip ang mangyayari basta sulat lang kayo ng sulat kahit mali, nasisikmura nyong ipakain sa pamilya nyo yan. bwesit!!!

  5. Sa bagay,outside issues should not concern us. Kaya nga madaming nagsasabi na iabolish na ang armed forces dahil wala daw external threat.

    Concern nating lahat ito .World peace is the concern of all,not just the so called peace makers.

  6. jorgie jorgie

    With the number of starving people in NoKor, they have the time to spend money on WMD (which btw did not work)…Sad…

    Does North Korea need missile to bomb this midget? I think a
    firecracker would do. This midget is not only too small; her total value is only worth a piece of firecracker.

  7. magdalo_you magdalo_you

    To all

    Wala namang magagawa yung mga ingay nyo, di naman kayo nakakatulong, nakakasama pa nga kayo sa sitwasyon, maraming bagay kayong maaring gawin para makatulong kayo at yan ay ang magsikap kayo na mabigyan nyo ng magandang buhay ang inyong mga anak, para hindi kayo asa sa gobyerno mga bwesit.

  8. Tedans Tedans

    BWESIT KA DIN MAGDALO-YOU. O ETO PISO BILI KA KAUSAP MO.

  9. jorgie jorgie

    Aba…may pakawala din pala dito ng Malacanang. Magdalo na lang siya sa party o prayer meeting makakatulong pa sa kanya. Anong tulong magagawa ang mga mamamayan kung ang mismong pinuno ay peke, magnanakaw at sinungaling? Di ba dapat ang gobyerno ang tumulong? Who must provide the basic necessities? Is it the government or the people? At hindi “bwesit” kundi “buwisit”. May tonong Bisaya pa!

  10. taipan88 taipan88

    I live in Japan for sometime now, and as such,worried,
    like all those who live in this part of the globe,
    about all these insane display of ‘Dear Leader’….

    Kim Jong Il, it seems, has been isolated for so long,
    that he wants attention. Even world attention, at that.
    He may be frantic since Japan has threatened
    trade sanctions if he doesn’ behave.

    I am just wondering why this country[NoKor], rated as poor,
    can spend so much for its ‘defense’
    rather than feed its people.

    Sounds true in Inang Bayan, don’t you think?

    Re: ate glue’s remark: I don’t think she has to do what she did….pumapapel na naman ang “pandikit” kaya ganon…

  11. Taipan88:

    Me, no worry. Babad TV, yes, but problema ng gobyerno iyan. Kaya hanggang TV lang tayo. Ingat lang sa fall-out. Naalala ko nang magkaroon dito ng fall-out because of China’s nuclear testing noong Vietnam War. Umulan dito ng tinatawag nilang yellow rain na dahilan ng maraming sakit na cancer-related.

    Pero iba ang pamahalaan dito. Maraming nagkasakit, isa na ako. Tapos ang ginamit na gamot ang sama ng side-effect. Nag-file ng complaints ang mga kapareho kong nagkasakit, nanalo pero may limit ang filing ng claim para makakuha ng bayad-pinsala. On the last year of the filing, tinawagan ako ng Ministry of Health, at tinanong bakit hindi ako nag-file ng complaint. Sabi ko kasi wala namang masyadong damage sa akin, pero the fact na na-ospital ako ng halos 6 to 8 months ay sapat na para bayaran. Nakakuha ako ng malaking lump sum na akala mo nanalo sa sweepstake, at hanggang sa mamatay ako may pension ako maliban pa sa tatanggapin ko mula sa pension plan na binabayaran ko.

    Sa Pilipinas iyan, iyong mga namamahala sa ganitong bayaran, kinukurakot ang pera. Mga pulis nga na umalis na, nagsusuweldo pa rin sabi ng pinsan kong pulis na siyang naatasang magsaliksik ng ganitong kurakot. Lumabas, mga nakaupo sa itaas ang gumagawa ng mga ganitong kawalanghiyaan. Dito ang mga nasa itaas ang nagtratrabaho para sa kasiyahan at kapakanan ng mga nasa ibaba kaya iyong mga nasa ibaba ay madaling mahikayat na sumunod sa kanila.

    Tama ka, pumapapel si Bansot para mapansin ni Dubya. Pero no dice. Dahil kilala na siyang burot na magnanakaw pa at sinungaling.

    BTW, kung Japan base ka, sumama ka sa meeting namin sa 22 or 23 para sa pagtatayo ng coalition of Philippine organizations dito sa Japan na hindi hawak ng Philippine Embassy. Meron kasi kaming pondo sa grupo namin halimbawa mula sa Japanese government na gusto naming magamit para sa kapakanan ng mga pilipino dito sa Hapon. Iyong lang grupo sa ngayon kasi ginamit ko ang karapatan ko bilang isang hapon.

  12. CNN reports that the US has sent a special envoy to talk with leaders of neighbors of North Korea: Japan, South Korea, Russia and China (not sure about Taiwan that is not recognized supposedly as an independent out of consideration for China’s claim perhaps that it is part and parcel of Mainland China).

    Hopefully, the Bansot will not claim that she, too, has been invited to join the meeting of experts on this issue about North Korea’s show of might as her silly advisers might try to impress on her the importance of a spin even just for local consumption! How crazy she will look for sure if she tries to lie again to give herself some additional importance and aura of greatness and power!

    Malala na nga. Dapat diyan ipasok na sa mental hospital. Baka “Sleepless in Malacanang” na naman siya, because no matter what her spinmasters do to stop the tide of events against her, the fact remains that she did steal votes in the last election aside from looting the treasury from day one that she took over the reins of government from the duly elected president, Joseph Estrada, who may have had his own faults and weaknesses, but ironically is proving to be far better than this menace calling herself “President of the Republic of the Philippines” and the title “Pang-gulo ng Pilipinas” more fitting to attach to her name!

    Ang galing ng tactic ni Bansot and her minions, but what they probably cannot hold back and clip is the growing discontentment with this administration that may end up tragically bloody! Heaven forbid!

    BTW, Kim Pandak says he is not willing to talk with the leaders of other countries trying to appease him, but he wants a one to one meeting with Dubya Bush!

    Like the Bansot. Kim Pandak is short and must have been pampered and spoiled by his father. Kaya siya asal sira rin!

  13. jorgie jorgie

    Who knows someday these two Pandak leaders might join force and invade the whole Asia. Watch out in Japan. Yes, don’t they make a good team and great partners? From riding on an elephant, the midget can try donkey this time.

  14. Bentong Bentong

    There might be a message here, huwag mag gatong baka mapaso..

    SEOUL — The South Korean president’s office on Sunday accused Japan of making a “fuss” over North Korean missile launches, suggesting Tokyo was contributing to the tense situation.

    “It is not any good to heighten tensions on the Korean Peninsula or aggravate the South-North relations and neither does it help to solve the nuclear issue or the missile issue,” said a statement from President Roh Moo-hyun’s office.

    “There is no reason to fuss over this from the break of dawn like Japan, but every reason to do the opposite,” the statement said.

    Japan has proposed a resolution in the U.N. Security Council, calling for sanctions against North Korea for its test launches last week. China and Russia are opposed, but South Korea has not publicly taken a stand on the matter.

    While the statement was critical of Japan, it seemed primarily aimed at domestic critics who have attacked Roh’s government for not responding more quickly and forcefully in the wake of the missile tests.

    Japan began issuing statements soon after the pre-dawn launches, but Roh’s government did not publicly respond to the tests until mid-morning.

    The South has suspended food and fertilizer aid to the North and rejected Pyongyang’s request for military talks. But Seoul has also called for “patient dialogue” with the North and is pushing ahead with Cabinet-level talks with the regime later this week.

    The statement said that the missile tests were not a surprise, and pointed out that no country declared a state of emergency after the launches — meaning Roh’s government should not be faulted for also not ordering one.

    “We can’t make the people anxious by fussing over it,” the statement said. “We have decided to respond slowly without raising our voice.” (AP)

    July 9, 2006

  15. jorgie jorgie

    Do you know that if war breaks out between North Korea and Japan, South Korea would side with their northern brothers?
    The reason goes way back as history tells us….Japan conquered Korea for many many years. The atrocities committed on the Koreans are still fresh in the minds of the Koreans especially the older ones. I once met a Korean who told me that his parents didn’t want and allow them to buy Japanese cars. Because whenever they see Japanese cars, they’re reminded of how they were abused. True indeed ’cause in my travel everywhere when I meet older Koreans, they drive and drive non-Japanese brand cars. Think about this…if North Korea wants to get South Korea she could have done so long ago. If North Korea has missiles to launch reaching the US, why can’t she use one at South Korea which is so close? The truth is, despite these long years of ideological differences, the two Koreas are united. Both have relatives on both sides.

    The Chinese’s hatred for the Japanese is no less. With China behind North Korea, no country not even the US dares touch North Korea. The region that’s composed of China, Russia and Korea is so strong that if any of them is attacked, a third world war is inevitable. And they shall see how the Asians fight a battle…better than the middle eastern nations.

    Time has changed. There’s now a shift of power in the world. If the US still thinks they are the superpower, they better take a close look. China has invaded the world economically. After economy, next is military. It’s predicted that China would replace US in 20 years. Now, try and get North Korea…

  16. On the contrary, this war is not in fact being waged by North Korea with Japan but with the USA, and much as the South Koreans would hate fighting with their brothers in the North, they have no other choice but fight the North Koreans with Japan.

    Despite the blood kinship, the South Koreans would not like to be under Communist despotism.

    China is playing dumb and innocent about this crisis as a matter of fact, but for its close ties with North Korea, it has no way out of the crisis.

  17. jorgie jorgie

    The main culprit is still the US. What if the whole world unites against the US? All countries including Canada stop trading with the US and withdraw the military alliance with her? It’s going to be fun…

  18. vonjovi1 vonjovi1

    MAGDALO_YOU IKAW MAUNA DAHIL INUTIL KA NAMAN EH… 🙂 KAHIT ANONG PA ANG SABIHIN MO DITO PATAMA SA AKIN, KAY ELLEN OR SA IBA AY TALBOK SA IYO. KUNG SABIHIN MONG GAGO KAMI AY MAS GAGO AT TANGA KASAMA NA ANG PAMILYA MO… HE,,HE,, KAPWA MO MAGNANAKAW AY IPAG TANGGOL MO…. IKAW NA LANG ANG MAG PAKIDNAP AT TIGNAN KO LANG KUNG SASAKLOHAN KA NG IDOL MO( SI ANGELO AY NALIGTAS LANG DAHIL MARAMI NG KASALANAN SI IDOL MO AT LALABAS ANG BAHO KAYA NAG PA GANDA AT NALIGTAS SI ANGELO PERO KUNG WALANG BAHO NA LALABAS AY SIGURADONG TEPOK NA SI ANGELO AT MATUTULAD KA RIN ….. SABIHIN MO NA ANG GUSTO MONG SABIHIN AT IBIG SABIHIN AY GANOON KA AT INUTIL. SAYANG ANG GINAMIT MO PA ANG NICKNAME NA MAGDALO AT AYUN NADUNGISAN NA DAHIL SA IYO…. BULOK

  19. Dominique Dominique

    The news item on South Korea’s areaction to Japan’s reaction to North Korea’s missile tests (SEOUL — The South Korean president’s office on Sunday accused Japan of making a “fuss” over North Korean missile launches, suggesting Tokyo was contributing to the tense situation…..) posted by Bentong is instructive.

    The more that it makes Gloria Arroyo’s laughable. If South Korea, who is next door neighbor of Kim Jong Il is not using strong words on the incident, why did gloria arroyo “roar”? to ingratiate herself to geore bush, no doubt.

  20. Dominique Dominique

    Correction: gloria arroyo’s comments laughable.

    The US condemnation of the missile test is hypocritical because one, they have also their own nuclear weapons. If they don’t want others to have missiles, they should destroy theirs.

    Kim Jong Il is a dangerous person and George bush has a lot to do with the posture the north korean leader is taking because he set the example of disregarding international law and using firepower to impose his will. gaya-gaya lang si kim jong il.

    i bet gloria arroyo wish she could also do the same.

  21. Diego K. Guerrero Diego K. Guerrero

    Mrs. Gloria Arroyo should also condemn South Asian giant India. India test-fired its nuclear-capable Agni III missile last Sunday. The Agni III can hit targets at a distance of about 3,500 kilometers. Why? Is she suffering from selective amnesia? Gloria Arroyo ang style mo bulok! Masyadong kang sip-sip sa mga Amerikano.

  22. Ronnie Mabini Ronnie Mabini

    Siguradong panay ang puri ni ATE YOKO ngayon kay DUBYA, ang US lang naman kung laitin nya ang tatakbuhan ng mga hapon!

    WASHINGTON (AP) — The United States on Sunday pushed China to apply more pressure on North Korea to end its missile tests and return to international nuclear disarmament talks.

    A top diplomat said the aim was to show that Kim Jong Il’s government has “no support in the world.”

    Undersecretary of State Nicholas Burns also indicated the United States would not grant North Korea the direct talks it is seeking in the wake of its test-firing of seven missiles, including some that possibly could reach the American continent. President George W. Bush has opposed one-on-one talks, too

    Sleep well ATE YOKO, the yankee is there for U 🙂

  23. Vonjovi1:

    Don’t give the Bansot too much credit for the saving of Angelo dela Cruz. The fact was the petition signed by hundreds of Filipinos in KSA under the initiative of some group leaders there like Raschid Fabricante saved his life and reason why his kidnappers told him he must be a good man to have so many friends pleading for his life. I don’t have to deal with this anymore because it is past and gone, but the OFWs in fact have their own networks to be able to reach such groups of insurgents without the help fo the Philippine government. Oftentimes, foreign organizations,etc. seem more responsive than the Philippine government that is filled with officials who have no care for their own fellow countrymen but their own vested interests. Gagamitin pa nga ang mga kapwa nila pilipino para sumikat lang sila e.

    Pambihira! Golly, pati simbahan kinukurakot! Sunog ang kaluluwa niyan pag nagkataon! Unbelievable!

    Buti na lang simbahan namin hindi kasama sa gulo diyan! Self-sufficient kasi at hindi kailangan humingi ng abuloy sa Malacanang, PCSO, etc. Galing pa sa sugal ang ipinamimigay ng kurakot na pamahalaan! No way na tanggapin iyan ng simbahan namin!

  24. taipan88 taipan88

    ystakei:
    Yeah, I’d love to join, but
    I am based in Shizuoka-ken:
    two-hours Shinkansen ride from Tokyo.
    Much as I want to, it’s a bit
    impossible…I’ll be with you in spirit.

    DiegoGuerrero:
    OO nga, why didn’t ate glue say somethin towards
    India? Maybe she’s waiting for some cue
    from dubya?

    hee-haw!

  25. Dominique:

    Koreans, even in Japan, have a lot of complaints about Japan even when the Japanese try their best to appease them by patronizing them, including these Korean actors and actresses who now dominate Japanese entertainment. As for the South Korean’s complaints, we don’t care as a matter of fact, and take such like the Chinese complaints as attempts to force Japan to pay additional war reparations payments and having Japan consider their debts as paid!

    For all its economic prowess, Japan is taking precaution not to cause any incident that will mean open confrontation. It is one reason I guess why Shintaro Ishihara cannot be made Prime Minister, and offered only the Tokyo governatorial seat to preserve peace. He has written a book titled “Japan should say ‘No’!” or something of that sort. It is also the reason why Japan has to cling to US apron at a great price, literally and otherwise.

    The only relief we can have is that the world has seen how the Japanese have fought their war—with fatalism as a matter of fact.

    Unfortunately, ours is an aging society, and we are not sure if our old people can be apt to fighting these crooks from North Korea, et al.

    I won’t listen to someone prejudiced about Japan and know so little if I were you.

  26. taipan88 taipan88

    I guess no outsider would know the real score,
    unless they live IN Japan….

    While it is true that some Koreans and Chinese from the ‘old school’ have been prompting the youth to stage protests against Japan, including the Yasukuni Shrine visits of Koizumi, most do not share the same sentiment.

    If that is true,[that the Chinese and the SouthKoreans hate Japan] why then do they keep on coming to Japan to work, study and sell their wares, including those telenovelas?

    Besides, Japan has dealt with their obligation squarely and responsibly. Reparations have been made.

    Kim just want to bargain more, for the abductees they kidnapped from Japan and SoKor. He uses those nuclear weapons as leverage against the US and its allies.

  27. It’s all politics. This time North Korea is playing international politics while playing its “Missle” card. The nuke card didn’t work very well, so it went to the next one.

    The problem is it’s not a card game, one fatal error (a test missile not hitting it’s intended target) may start a regional war, in turn a bigger war. And in any war, it’s the civilians who suffer most.

    Re Arroyo, I agree that for her to be consistent she should also condemn India’s test. But she didn’t count on that as she didn’t know India was going to do its testing! (even if the test failed).

  28. Taipan88

    It does not mean fondness for Japan that they come here, but for better pay for so little a job, or more pay for hard work compared to what they can receive back home.

    Another thing is Japan has become a destination for crime gangs in China and Korea. Japanese prisons in fact are getting saturated with these criminals from Fookien, etc. for example and Korea.

    You must have heard of the pickpocketers who fly or sail to Japan via Narita and Fukuoka that we are often warned not to leave our things unattended in Shinkansens or be careful of pickpockets on the Yamanote Line in Tokyo for instance.

    I have befriended the Chinese and Korean interpreters at the Fuchu prison, and they, too, feel ashamed for what their countrymen do in Japan although one or two feel very strongly against Koizumi’s visit to the Yasukuni Shrine that you will be surprised is shared by Japanese friends in the Communist Party who clash with members of the rightist Aikoku-to, who take rounds reminding citizens of Japan to be patriotic but failing because of the loud sound system on their campaign vans!

  29. FYI A petition now ready for signing on this issue of North Korea that Bush is likely to order a pre-emptive attack again (http://www.iacenter.org/koreacampaign.shtml)

    President Bush, Vice President Cheney, Secretary of State Rice, Secretary-General Annan, and Congressional Leaders,

    I am writing this letter to oppose the current international warmongering campaign against Korea being carried out by the U.S. government, and to demand that it end immediately!

    With the recent routine testing of 7 missiles by the DPRK, the Bush Administration is working overtime to gather international support for sanctions and other hostile actions towards North Korea.

    It is important to put the launch of the missiles in perspective to see which country is the real threat to peace in the region.

    The DPRK tested 7 missiles, one of them the Taepodong-2 missile. The others were short-range Scud and medium-range Rodong missiles. These tests violated no international law and were completely within that country’s rights as a sovereign state. These sorts of tests are conducted all the time by many countries.

    Even the New York Times, in a July 5 editorial, had to admit that, “Since the test poses no direct security threat, and violates no international treaty, there is no justification for any military response, by the United States or anyone else.”

    The testing of 7 small rockets by the DPRK pales in comparison with the massive military mobilization by the U.S.

    On June 14, the U.S. Air Force held “a quality control test” for its 500 Minuteman III missiles. One of these missiles traveled 4,800 miles towards the central Pacific, and three test warheads landed near the Marshall Islands.

    At the same time, three U.S. Navy carrier battle groups—including three aircraft carriers, 22,000 troops, dozens of fighter planes and several heavy bombers —were assembled in the western Pacific off Guam in the largest naval mobilization since the Vietnam War. The USS Curtis Wilbur and the USS Fitzgerald, both guided-missile destroyers with massive destructive capacity sit right off the coast of North Korea. The U.S. also sent spy planes on 170 missions over North Korea. Just hours ago, the USS Martin, a 9,200-ton guided missile destroyer with the Navy’s most advanced combat weapon system arrived in the region as a direct challenge to the DPRK.

    The U.S. still has more than 30,000 troops stationed in South Korea despite widespread, militant opposition to them. Its claims that the troops are there to protect the south from the north are rejected by the majority of southerners. In fact, there have been massive demonstrations against the U.S. military presence.

    It’s important to remember that President George W. Bush named the DPRK, along with Iraq and Iran, as one of the “axis of evil.” As the whole world witnesses the torture, rape, and murder that “regime change” has brought to the people of Iraq, the DPRK has every reason to be concerned and has every right to take necessary steps to defend itself.

    The DRPK has tried repeatedly to get the U.S. to end the state of war that still exists since the 1950-53 Korean War and to sign a peace treaty that would normalize relations between the two countries. The U.S. always refuses. The U.S. war on the Korean Peninsula resulted in the death of 4 million Korean people and the division and continuing U.S. occupation of the country to this day.

    Considering the U.S. missile test, the military maneuvers, and the constant stream of threats against the DPRK from both the Republican administration and the Democratic Party leaders, it is quite clear that the Pyongyang government faces a serious threat from the most belligerent and heavily armed military in the world.

    As part of the media hype to demonize and isolate the DPRK, Bush and his media mouthpieces have raised the specter of North Korea’s possession of nuclear weapons. Again, this must be put into perspective. The U.S. stockpile contains almost 10,000 nuclear warheads. This includes 5,735 active or operational warheads: 5,235 strategic and 500 nonstrategic warheads. The U.S. also has approximately 4,225 additional warheads held in the reserve or inactive stockpiles.

    The U.S. is also the only country to ever use nuclear weapons against civilian targets. The Bush Administration has also made it very clear that it considers use of nuclear weapons is acceptable in its global crusade of regime change.

    I reject the use of “weapons of mass destruction” as justification for a campaign of sanctions and hostility against the people of North Korea.

    I denounce this fabricated crisis as just the latest in a string of distortions generated by Washington to justify its program of endless war.

    I demand:

    – An end to Washington’s campaign of lies and hostility towards the people of North Korea.

    – An end to the military operations targeting North Korea.

    – That the U.S. end the state of war with North Korea that has lasted more than 50 years.

    – The immediate withdrawal of the U.S. naval carrier groups deployed against the DPRK.

    Sincerely,

  30. I wonder if the hungry North Koreans are deliberately provoking the Americans to attack them so they can be free. Rather simplistic thought but then, hungry people can do a lot of crazy things.

    Kim Pandak must have thought that with the mounting problems the US is faced with at the moment, he may just as well provoked Bush and see what the US will offer him to prevent another pre-emptive attack that may precipitate now another World War with the war brought over to the Far East.

    I’m not worried for some reason because I will live if that is what Gods wills it. I’m ready with food supply kept in storage containers for a month’s consumption for three people. I can try escaping to the US if it is possible but I won’t do that because my husband and son will not come with me especially with America facing similar threat. So, why worry? As my neighbors say, “Life goes on. Today we live, tomorrow we die or live a hundred more! Shigoto, shigoto! (Work, work!)”

  31. Oops, this should read: I’m not worried for some reason because I will live if that is what GOD wills it.

  32. Ang bilis kasi ng pindot sa keyboard, but this should read:

    Kim Pandak must have thought that with the mounting problems the US is faced with at the moment, he may just as well PROVOKE Bush and see what the US will offer him to prevent another pre-emptive attack that may precipitate now another World War with the war brought over to the Far East.

    Frankly, Kim Pandak has been doing this cat and mouse tactic with Japan in the negotiations for the return of Japanese abductees to Japan. A million tons of rice and goodies for the return of one abductee. It must be exasperating being in the negotiation panel with the Koreans even trying to use the sins of Japan in WWII in forcing Japan to pay. As we say in Japanese, “Jitsu ni kitanai!” (Downright dirty!) They really suck!

    Mahirap talagang mapailalim sa mga pandak na kapalmuks!

  33. Off topic but good to share re the Iraqi War:

    Suspension of attendance

    A STATEMENT

    We announce to the public opinion that we will suspend our attendance in the trial sessions of the Iraqi High Criminal Court as per July 10th, 2006 for the following reasons:
    – During the proceedings of the so-called Dujail case, the rights of the Defense and of President Saddam Hussein have been gravely violated.
    – The murder of Lawyer Khamis Obeidi which occurred after the murder of lawyers Saadoun Al-Janabi and Adil Al-Zubaidi and the wounding of Lawyer Thamir Al-Khuza’i.
    – We are committed not to give legitimacy to illegal proceedings that will result in unjust judgments.

    This suspension will continue until the following fair demands are fulfilled:
    1- An immediate and serious investigation should be conducted to reveal the facts of the assassinations of the Defense Lawyers.
    2- The American authorities should be committed to provide adequate protection to the Iraqi lawyers and their families.
    3- The Court should pledge that it will respect the right of the Defense Lawyers to present all the arguments that they deem appropriate in the way they consider adequate and to be given adequate time to do this without interruption or interference. This right should be applied for all the lawyers regardless of their number and also to our clients. The Defense should also be given an opportunity to prepare the defense.
    4- The Court should promise that it will not intimidate the Defense Lawyers and to cancel its decision that prevents Lawyers Bushra Al-Khalil and Saleh Armouti from participating in the proceedings.
    5- No lawyer, who is not a member of the Defense Committee, may be imposed by the Court to represent our clients against their will.
    6- The Court should abide by the standards of fair trials in accordance with international law.
    The Defense Committee also announces that it rejects the statements of Nouri Al-Maliki which constitute a striking interference in judicial affairs and an intervention in justice and impartiality which should prevail in such trials.

    The Defense Committee would like to announce also that President Saddam Hussein and his comrades have begun a hunger strike since the 5th of July 2006 until their legal and fair demands are fulfilled.

    The Defense Committee
    For President Saddam Hussein
    And all the detainees in Iraq

  34. E-mail from Romeo:

    Hi Ellen,

    In your opinion column, you made political analysis
    about the stability in our region vis-a-vis the North
    Korea missile launch. As to the context on how the
    Philippines should react, the picture should be taken
    and analyzed on what should be the Philippines’
    response to the crisis not on the basis of political
    survival of the current leader.

    Romeo

  35. How the Philippines is responsing to international events depends a lot on the kind of leadership the country has. If it’s a leadership that has the good of the Filipinos in mind, it’s response would be one that would be of benefit to the people.

    If it’s a shaky leadership whose main pre-occupation is survival, it’s response will be based on what would make the leader look good and help in her hold on power. The interest of the nation is secondary.

    The above column discussed that.

    The main thesis of the column is that the Bush administration does not have the moral ascendancy to demand from other states good behavior and adherence to international law because he himself trampled on it when he invaded Iraq.

  36. Bentong Bentong

    Pag inipit ang N-Korea we can only expect the worst. Every one in the Pacific region will be affected. Let’s just hope diplomacy prevail. China & Russia is asking the same dahil malaki ang puhunan nila dito.
    Got this from CNN:

    For the U.S., the risk of inaction will prove far greater. The Pyongyang regime will view its stockpile of missiles and nuclear material as tipping the regional balance in its favor and providing a shield behind which it can pursue its interests with impunity. Worse, North Korea has a long history of selling its advanced weapons to countries in the Middle East, and it operates a black market in other forms of contraband. Like Pakistan’s rogue nuclear engineer A.Q. Khan, North Korean officials might be tempted to sell the ingredients of their arsenal to terrorists. Finally, many expect North Korea’s failed economy to lead one day to the regime’s collapse. Who then might get its loose nukes?

    So what should be done to begin to rein in the runaway North Korean nuclear and missile programs? First, we continue to advise the U.S. government to strike any further Taepo Dong test missiles before they can be launched. Second, the North should be penalized for defying the international community’s unanimous appeal not to conduct its July 4 tests. China and South Korea are the main economic benefactors of North Korea, and President Bush is right to seek a United Nations Security Council action that would compel all nations to suspend trade with Pyongyang.

  37. jorgie jorgie

    One reason why China and Korea cannot completely accept Japan is due to Japan’s non-recognition and admission of their atrocities and crimes last World War. Japan didn’t even put this in their history books. Japan’s history books are amended to project Japan’s own good image and not be held accountable for their past deeds. This, to the Chinese and Koreans shows insincerity and arrogance. We cannot blame them for not trusting Japan until this day.

  38. Armand Rubio Armand Rubio

    Whatever happens, the US will continue to stay as the number 1 economy in the world. It will be dislocated every now and then, but the US will always survive in the end, as long as industrialization, science, and technology, continue to be the backbone of the world’s economy, and its dependence on OIL.

    Quoting a former US Ambassador to Saudi Arabia, in a UK Newspaper, the Guardian:

    “One of the major things the Saudis have historically done, in part, out of friendship with the US, is to insist that oil continues to be priced in US Dollars (also called Petrodollars). Therefore, the US Treasury can print money and buy oil which is an advantage no other country has. With the emergence of other currencies, and with strains in the relationship, I wonder whether there will be, as there has been in the past, people in Saudi Arabia who raise the question of why they should be so kind to the US”

    It is estmated US$ 3 Trillion, in circulation in the world economy, are directly tied to PETRODOLLARS and two third of the world trade is dominated by the US including China and India.The oil market dependence on US Dollars helps the country manage its trade deficits. Since the US is the largest oil consumer. And a secret is out, the biggest supplier of oil to US todate is Canada.

  39. jorgie jorgie

    The US will remain as number one in economy? That’s what you think. Have you been to the US? If you have not, try visit the US and go to every store and market. What you can see are all “Made in China”.

    Yes, the US have huge dollar and oil reserves. But with their growing population, these may not be enough in the future. That’s the reason why the US continues to search around for sources especially oil. By her military power and political influence, many countries especially those who belong to third world like the Philippines are being intimidated and abused. For every dollar the US spends, she expects triple in return. Why do you think she is in Iraq right now and planning to do the same to Iran? Why do you think Asia and Pacific are so important to her? The US has the history of grabbing lands and conquering other countries. America for one used to be owned by the natives.

  40. Why the US has patronized these “Made In China” products though low quality is because of the wrong notion that the Chinese are like the Japanese who know how to be grateful to their benefactors!

    The Americans think that being nicey-nicey to China will make the Chinese bow down to America. Gratitude is apparently not so much a Chinese virtue without the strings attached for example when they give “tikoy,” etc. to their “ninongs” on Chinese New Year or Christian Christmas.

    Apparently, fattening of the Chinese pig will not prove to be a good thing in the long run with the Chinese thinking once again that China is the center of the universe, and if US will not take precaution, it may someday be eaten up the big pig it hoped to fatten and eat roasted!

    The Americans can learn from the experience of Japan, which gave China so much aids aside from the war reparations the Allies told it to pay after WWII, but look at how these Chinese take they have every right to suck still som more Japanese blood as revenge for something that the Japanese have actually repented for.

    Pwe!

  41. jorgie jorgie

    I don’t want to start an argument about Japan’s relationship with her Asian neighbors particularly those she invaded namely: China, Korea and the Philippines. All I can say is that no amount of reparations and aids could pay the crimes she committed against the abovementioned countries. No sincere apology and presentation of true facts in her history books. And to think that the war was actually between the US and Japan…isn’t it ironic to see that the two are sweet partners today?

  42. Armand Rubio Armand Rubio

    You have seen the products in the US with labels Made in China. But have you seen the Company names it was made for? All US companies and brand names! Not only made in China but almost all the countries in the world, including the Philippines. Do you think China will be the same if the US will withdraw all the brand names, technology, and capital investments from China? China’s participations are in terms of infrastructures and cheap labor. The same arrangement the US companies have with Bangladesh, Malaysia , Philippines , Turkey, India, Taiwan, etc. etc. etc.

    Indiginous China products will not yet sell as much as that of Japan and Korea anywhere in the world. They still have to prove that they can manufacture good quality products acceptable to the world market, if left alone on their own. Like what the Japanese and Korean manufacturers did. That’s the name of the game. Have I been to the US? I live here- for the last thirty years.

  43. nelbar nelbar

    To Diego K. Guerrero, taipan88 & Jon Mariano and All:
     
     

    Nagtataka lang ako?Bakit kailangan pang pansinin ang comments ng isang peke o huwad na pangulo sa isyu ng North Korea missile testing?Diba peke nga ito?Nagtataka rin ako sa mga patay gutom na taga malacanang press corp. Pilit pa rin isinusubo sa pangkariniwang juan dela cruzes ang pagkahuwad na pangulo ng nasa malakanyang.

  44. Armand Rubio Armand Rubio

    Trade is not entirely US government function. All they do is open trade agreements and it’s up to the local business people to go ahead where they think it’s profitable. That’s why one will find that products of a particular known US brand are made in several countries. Those new products Made in China distributed by local Companies which are not known to the traditional market but have US brands are easily detected as cheapy products and being frowned on. Nilalangaw. After a while these companies close down. US market still prefers US technology wherever they are made.

    The population growth in the US is approximately 2.5 m a year. In 2010 it is estimated to be 299 m. These would include immigrants. As the population grow the net income also
    grow.

  45. Armand Rubio Armand Rubio

    Grabbing lands? Do not look far. You have the Arroyos and Tuazons in your place to begin a very long list.

  46. nelbar nelbar

    Armand Rubio:

    Sa pagkakaalam ko, kaya napunta ang mga Europeo(immigrants) sa mainland US noong unang panahon ay dahil gusto nilang tumakas sa mga panunupil ng mga hari at reyna sa kani-kanilang kaharian.
    dito sa pilipinas baliktad, mas gusto ng mga pinoy na magkaroon ng sarili nilang hari at reyna. hari ng sugalan at reyna ng kawalanghiyaan at kasinungalingan, prinsipe ng kamangmangan, duke ng kaimoralan at iba pang mga titulo.

    Speaking of (grabbing)land and land masses,wala pa si Amerigo Vespucci meron na tayong natives dito sa kahabaan ng Malay peninsula, Samar-Leyte land mass in particular.
    At ang isa sa mga magandang naiambag nito sa sibilisasyon ng mundo ay ang pagpapatunay na bilog(oblate spheroid) nga ang mundo.
    Prior to the discovery(daw) or landing of Magellan to Homonhon Is. ay meron ng mga trading partners ang mga malay natives dito sa bansa natin(i.e., chinese, arabs, muslims).
    Minalas lang dahil hindi napadpad sa dakong South East Asia sina Genghis Khan at Hideyoshi.
    Pero mas kinikilala ko ang MAJAPAHIT, SRI VIJAYA at itong BUGIS.

  47. Nelbar:

    France used the US and the Americas in general as penal colonies kaya huwag kang magtaka kung may mga genes ng mga kriminal ang mga tao doon. It’s the same thing in Australia that was penal colony of Great Britain before it became a British Commonwealth.

    I believe in heredity. My parents-in-law in fact had me investigated thoroughly that I was hurt to know at first but in the end realized their anxiety to be just right to make sure that the bride of their son was of good breed—no criminal in the ancestry. My father-in-law explained it simply as when you see a thief, don’t be surprised to know that he must have been descended from another thief.

    We see this pattern of criminality in the descendant of the Macapagal who killed Andres Bonifacio, or the jueteng lord before WWII in Panay who is said to be related to the Jose Miguel Pidal!

    The crooks in the Philippine Congress may jump like monkies patting their shoulders announcing before all the impeachment complaints could be submitted for review by them crooks and even when people who have submitted those complaints have little hope that their complaints could reach first base, but my friends and I are not troubled at all. For all you know, God must have had his own timetable that may prove fatal to all of them crooks, for good triumphs over evil all the time!

    “Fear them not therefore: for there is nothing covered, that shall not be revealed; and hid, that shall not be known.• • •And fear not them which kill the body, but are not able to kill the soul: but rather fear him which is able to destroy both soul and body in hell. • • •Fear ye not therefore, ye are of more value than many sparrows.” (Matt. 10: 26, 28, 31)

  48. Armand Rubio Armand Rubio

    Nelbar:

    You know your knowledge of Philippine history well. For two hundred years approx 1600 to 1800, Manila (a Muslim town before Legaspi) had been the busy trading center in that part of the world, traders coming from China, India, Mexico, and several others. The British tried to grab it from Spain but did not succeed. When the Spanish empire started to fall in the late 1800, the Friars practically took over the governance. Diyan na nagsimula ang local revolution at mga kaguluhan sa bansa. If the British succeeded, the Philippines could have ended up a better country like Singapore and Hongkong. The Friars taught the Filipinos the art of land grabbing, and the Americans taught the Filipinos the finer art of “gambling”

    ystakei:

    I agree with you. Apples do not fall far from the tree. Or, if you are a scoundrel someone in your ancestry must be a scoundrel. Its in the genes.

  49. jorgie jorgie

    Mga kabayan, hindi natin masisisi si Ystakei kung bakit ganoon na lang ang pagbandera niya sa bansang Hapon. Japan is his second home and could even be his one and only home.
    Pero sana man lang ay aminin niya at ng Hapon ang malaking kasalanang ginawa ng kanilang bansa sa Pilipinas, Tsina, Korea at iba pa. Ilang milion ang namatay nang dahil sa kanila? Pati ang kasaysayan sa kanilang libro na itinuturo sa mga bata at eskuwelahan ay pinalitan at itinago ang mga kalupitang ginawa ng mga ninuno nila. Iyan lang naman ang akin. Maunlad na ang bansang Hapon at mababait din ang mga tao doon ngayon. Sa katunayan, malaking tulong sa ating mga OFWs ang Japan. Kaya lang bakit natin papalitan at dadayain ang kasaysayan? Bakit natin ipagtatakpan ang mga karumal-damal ng ginawa nila noong panahon ng digmaan? At ang masakit o sabihin na nating katawa-tawa ay kakampi nila at matalik na kaibigan ngayon ang Amerika…ang bansang bumomba sa kanila na ikinamatay ng maraming inosenteng civilians!

  50. magdalo_you magdalo_you

    Jorgie,

    Pati ba naman si Ystakei eh tinira mo na rin, kay vonjobi isang malaking kaululan ang pinagsasabi mo, payo ko sayo ay ituloy mo lang ang kaululan mo.

  51. jorgie jorgie

    Esperon is next AFP chief
    By Jaime Laude
    The Philippine Star 07/12/2006

    President Arroyo has named Army chief Lt. Gen. Hermogenes Esperon as
    the new Armed Forces chief. Esperon, 54, takes the place of Gen.
    Generoso Senga Jr., who will retire on July 21.

    Mrs. Arroyo will formally announce soon Esperon’s appointment as the
    35th chief of the 125,000-strong Armed Forces of the Philippines.

    Upon the instruction of Mrs. Arroyo, news of Esperon’s appointment
    was relayed by Executive Secretary Eduardo Ermita Monday night by
    telephone to STAR publisher Max V. Soliven.

    As early as two weeks ago, before embarking on an official trip to
    Europe, Mrs. Arroyo intimated to Soliven at St. Luke’s Medical Center
    in Quezon City, where they were both confined, her decision to name
    Esperon as Senga’s replacement.

    ———————————————————-
    As expected, Esperon was appointed as the new AFP Cheap. He’s among
    the best rewarded by the midget. The midget indeed knows how to pay
    her debts. Esperon was very instrumental in that election cheating.
    It pays to be a conspirator and an ass kisser.

  52. jorgie jorgie

    nelbar: Ang isang magandang halimbawa ay Australia. Ang mga ninuno niyan ay mga kriminal na preso galing sa England at tinapon sa Australia.

    magdalo_f you: Hindi ko tinitira si Ystakei. Ang mensahe ko ay para sa lahat dahil lumalayo tayo sa issue na pinag-uusapan dito. May kanya-kanyang topic na mas bagay sa ibang thread dito sa blog na ito di ba? Isa lang ang napapansin ko sa kaibigang Ystakei: Maliban sa kontra na kontra siya kay Bansot, lagi niyang ibinabandila ang bansang Hapon at LDS (simbahan nila).

  53. nelbar nelbar

    for the interest of readers in international relations of East Asia …
     
     
     

    ——————————————————————————–
     

    The Japan-US Alliance
    21st Century Challenges in East Asia
    by H. D. P. Envall
    PhD Candidate
    University of Melbourne
    Monbusho Scholar
    Hitotsubashi University
    Reviews Editor
    electronic journal of contemporary japanese studies

    ——————————————————————————–
     

    Nishihara, Masashi (ed) (2000), The Japan-US Alliance: New Challenges for the 21st Century, Tokyo: Japan Center for International Exchange
    ISBN 4-88907-034-6, Paperback, 200 pages

    ——————————————————————————–

    It is true that more than ten years have passed since the Cold War and also that the Japan-United States alliance is now fifty years old; however, the alliance continues to be the most prominent, as well as the most influential, politico-security partnership in East Asia. The alliance has always been more than a bilateral affair. It has played a key role in the regional security framework throughout the Cold War and beyond, a fact which implies that, to properly analyse the alliance, researchers should also include the regional context. Simply, analysis of the alliance is most illuminating when it studies the alliance in the light of the East Asian security environment. Consequently, whenever a group of academics join together and produce a practical, focused and comprehensive discussion on the alliance in the East Asian context, it represents an important academic study. The group of academics who wrote The Japan-US Alliance: New Challenges for the 21st Century have produced a focused and comprehensive discussion on the future of the alliance and, rather than simply analysing the alliance as a bilateral matter or including a languorous reading of the alliance in the regional context, they have dealt with the alliance and its East Asian implications in depth. This work includes the important developments to the alliance and its environment as they stood in 2000 and develops a number of thought-provoking policy options and future scenarios for how the alliance might cope with regional change. For these reasons this book is a valuable contribution to our understanding of the Japan-US alliance in East Asia and a worthy subject for review.
     

    The origin of this project lies in the developments to the US-Japan relationship which occurred through the latter half of the 1990s, in particular, the 1996 signing of a joint declaration on the alliance by Hashimoto Ryutaro and Bill Clinton. As a result, in late 1998 the Japan Center for International Exchange established a study group of young Japanese scholars aimed at discussing the myriad of alliance issues. The purpose was, according to Nishihara Masashi (page 9), “to identify policy differences between Tokyo and Washington on given issues, pursue their common interests, and suggest how the alliance might be strengthened by improving bilateral arrangements or by coordinating policies.” The scholars came from various institutes around Japan, and the fruits of their labour is this volume, which consists of an introduction plus six chapters. In addition to the introduction by Nishihara, who is the president of the National Defense Academy, the remaining chapters each analyse separate issues associated with the US-Japan alliance in the East Asian context. Thus, there is a chapter on the alliance guidelines, others on the major issues of the alliance (the Korean peninsula and the Taiwan straights), still others on the alliance’s Southeast Asian relations (including a chapter on Myanmar) and, finally, a chapter on arms proliferation.
     

    To begin, Murata Koji looks at the development of the alliance from the 1960 Security Treaty, examines the 1978 Guidelines and its transformation into the 1997 Guidelines, and concludes with a section outlining what he considers necessary to strengthen the alliance in the future. Arguing that the alliance is unique, Murata contends that its longevity, despite weaknesses, can be attributed to several reasons, especially its low costs and the strategic nature of Japan. Murata argues that the 1978 Guidelines established the means by which the details of the revised 1960 US-Japan Security Treaty could be implemented; however, the 1978 Guidelines still had significant shortcomings, failing, for instance, to provide proper administrative measures for cooperation between Japan and the US in military operations. The 1997 revised Guidelines, therefore, represented a significant step towards establishing a formal alliance structure and addressing the one-sided nature of the alliance; that is, it moved away from the situation where Japan was the facilities provider and the US was the personnel provider. The 1997 revisions also aimed to renew the alliance for new post-Cold War security challenges and, consequently, a major change in the 1997 revision was to change a focus of the alliance from attacks on Japan and the Far East to include “situations in areas surrounding Japan” (Murata, page 28; Guidelines, Article V, pp. 283-285).
     

    In the second and third chapters, Michishita Narushige and Nakai Yoshifumi address the two chief areas that might fall within the phrase “areas surrounding Japan” – the Korean peninsula and the Taiwan straights. Michishita (page 39) attempts to “provide a blueprint for the Japan-US and US-South Korea alliances should the North Korean threat disappear”, while Nakai examines the Taiwan issue as a cause of future instability and “policy divergence” between Japan and the US. While accepting the uncertainties that a North Korean collapse would produce, Michishita argues that the US-South Korean alliance should be maintained for various reasons, including regional reassurance and as a hedge against China. He argues for a more symmetrical alliance structure between Japan, the US and South Korea and, consequently, looks at some of the challenges that such a structure might face, challenges that include discord amongst the three nations, domestic opposition and the problem of engaging China. Meanwhile, Nakai (page 71) argues that the 1996 Taiwan Straights crisis “shattered the peaceful complacence of Asian nations.” For a variety of reasons, the US and Japan responded differently to the crisis and their policies further diverged following the crisis. Nakai looks at some of the regional dynamics behind this development, notably differing attitudes towards democracy and independence in Taiwan and the potential arms race in East Asia. Finally, Nakai presents some future scenarios and agendas for US-Japan policy coordination on Taiwan. He outlines three scenarios – divergence, convergence and coordination – and presents three possible ‘agendas’ for better policy coordination in the short, medium and long terms.
     

    In the following three chapters, Sudo Sueo, Hoshino Eiichi and Miyasaka Naofumi shift the focus from the alliance’s most conspicuous ‘great power’ problems of Korea and Taiwan to the more low-key but, nevertheless, important issues that the alliance must manage. Sudo (page 103) argues that instability in Southeast Asia – economic turmoil, a declining US and a rising China – means that Japan and the US should “coordinate their Southeast Asian policies more substantially.” In prescribing greater cooperation, he looks at Japan-US economic, political and security cooperation, in particular, the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF), the South China Sea conflict and US-Japan military coordination in Southeast Asia. Meanwhile, Hoshino outlines US and Japanese human rights policies since the 1980s. He argues that the failure to coordinate policies could negatively affect the alliance, for example, by causing one partner to lose confidence in the other, and, in this context, he describes the increasingly divergent policies that Japan (engagement) and the US (disengagement/sanctions) have taken towards Myanmar during the 1990s. Hoshino puts forward four policy alternatives to improve the alliance. Finally, Miyasaka (page 161) looks at the issue of arms proliferation and aims “to strengthen the Japan-US alliance” by developing “a cooperative policy on this issue.” In particular, he examines how the US and Japan have approached the issues of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) proliferation and small-arms proliferation, and his cooperative policy solution is a “well-coordinated body with a presence in both nations” (Miyasaka, 174). Through this “bilateral mechanism” Japan and the US would agree on basic anti-proliferation principles and would cooperate in various research and military endeavours aimed against proliferation.
     

    As an entree, the first chapter by Murata is an illuminating examination of how the operational framework of the alliance has developed in past years and of how effective it remains in the post-Cold War environment. It constitutes what should be a mandatory ‘first-step’ in any book on the alliance. Murata also includes an interesting discussion on two current topics, collective defence and that ambiguous term “areas surrounding Japan”. However, the main course of this publication arrives with the second, third and fourth chapters. This part of the book not only provides a detailed and sophisticated analysis of the underlying dynamics of the US-Taiwan-China-Japan, US-Korea-Japan and US-ASEAN-Japan entanglements, it also provides the reader with an insight as to how current Japanese academics and specialists in East Asian security studies view these relationships. Hopefully without reading too much into these chapters, it can be said that the writers project a guarded optimism mixed with some trepidation over the issue of Korean unification (Michishita, 40-41), some concern perhaps with Japan’s ‘low key’ (and divergent from the US) response to the 1996 Taiwan Straights crisis (Nakai, 71 and 77-80) and frustration with Japan’s still small role in Southeast Asia (Sudo, 115). Yet, by far-and-away the strongest theme projected in these chapters concerns the region’s refashioned ‘realpolitik’ strategic environment and the future position of China in this environment.
     

    The theme of an emerging Sino-US-Japan rivalry runs strongly through the three chapters on Korea, Taiwan and Southeast Asia (Japan-US-ASEAN). Sudo (page 106), for instance, argues that “it is the rapid rise of China as a great power that has contributed most to long-range apprehensions in Japan and Southeast Asia.” In particular, the post-1997 economic crisis has “served to assist China in its ambitions to become the leading regional power” (Sudo, 106), and so, Japan and the US should seek to shore up these South-East Asian nations, both economically and militarily, by supporting and seeking reform at ASEAN and its associated institutions such as the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF). Meanwhile, China will naturally be a key player in any discussion of the Taiwan issue, but Nakai’s examination of the Taiwan issue from the perspective of the Japan-US alliance, in contrast to traditional bilateral US-China approaches, provides some absorbing insights into the issue’s broader dynamics. Naturally, Nakai (page 71) does discuss the Taiwan issue as a “face off” between the US and China, but argues more interestingly that:
     
     

    The [Taiwan] crisis demonstrated that post-cold war turbulence could also occur in Asia, bringing with it the potential for causing damage to both the economies and political stability of the region. The crisis … demonstrated how the policies of Japan and the United States toward Taiwan could differ … It suggested that this policy divergence, if unresolved, could seriously erode the foundations of the US-Japan security treaty and jeopardize the security of Taiwan as well as, eventually, that of Japan and the Asia Pacific region.
     
     

    China’s wariness about US-Japan security cooperation as a threat to its own security; regional arms build-ups, including missile defence systems between Japan and the US; and territorial disputes in the South China Sea: all these issues mean that, from Nakai’s perspective, Taiwan is not a simple ‘renegade province’, but rather, is a cynosure around which Sino-Japanese and Sino-American antagonisms and, ultimately, the entire region, could be drawn.
     

    China also plays a large part in Michishita’s thinking on the future of the security arrangements in post-confrontation Korea. Michishita gives five reasons why the US-Korean security arrangements should remain beyond the fall of North Korea. His main reason is reassurance: “The US-South Korea alliance, together with the Japan-US alliance, would contribute to stable relations in the region, particularly between Japan and South Korea, South Korea and China, and Japan and China.” (Michishita, 44) Michishita’s other reasons include; secondly, the protection of regional and global security; thirdly, the maintenance the US-Japan alliance through burden sharing between Japan and Korea; and fifthly, the promotion of regional democracy. However, it is his fourth reason that would grab the attention of old Cold War realists and is, perhaps, not too far removed from the hawkish-leaning circles in Washington and Tokyo. This reason, according to Michishita (page 50), “is the hedge it [the alliance] provides against the rise of China as an aggressive power.” Michishita puts forward China’s involvement in territorial disputes, its defence build-up, its failure to combine economic reform with political reform and its increasing economic strength as the major reasons for using the alliance as a hedge. In the context of heightening tensions in the region over 2000-2001, it seems that such a policy, if explicitly endorsed, would represent a fundamental (and high profile) shift in US strategy in East Asia. If North Korea suddenly collapsed and the US was to endorse the US-Korean alliance as a ‘hedge’ with respect to China, the East Asian security framework would be transformed from a state of engagement to a state of containment. Readers might justifiably wonder whether this represents an extremely worrying trend in the international relations of East Asia.
     

    Although arms proliferation issues are clearly important, the final article by Miyasaka highlights how difficult it is to examine such broad issues in a single chapter and in an alliance context. Firstly, the issues are too broad. WMD and small arms proliferation issues encompass both international and domestic aspects, including issues of law, culture, religion and sovereignty, issues that all need more space to be adequately examined. Miyasaka also discusses other matters, such as Aum Shinrikyo and the private possession of firearms, and raises many good questions; however, the lack of answers leaves an impression of superficiality and thematic confusion. For this reason, and also owing to the tragic events which occurred recently in the US, a future chapter in an alliance text might concentrate on the issue of ‘Combating Terrorists’. Secondly, arms proliferation may be an alliance issue, but is it a major cause of friction in the alliance? Is it an alliance problem? Miyasaka (page 162) argues that “If we underestimate the threats [of arms proliferation issues], Japan-US relations will deteriorate”, and to support this he claims that “the alliance has experienced undercurrents of dissatisfaction, frustration, and misunderstanding.” Miyasaka proffers as evidence a failure to cooperate during the Aum Shinrikyo gas attack, as well as Japan’s insufficient support for America’s bombing of Osama Bin-Laden in 1998 and America’s position on anti land-mine issues. These issues are, without doubt, weighty problems in contemporary international relations, but it is unlikely that they constitute, in comparison to the other issues raised in this book, an abnormal cause of major friction in the alliance.
     

    Instead, tackling some of these issues together may open the door for better US-Japan cooperation. Indeed, as Miyasaka (page 77) argues, Japan has in the past “neglected to use them [proliferation issues] as a means of forging a stronger alliance with the United States.” Nevertheless, tackling ‘arms proliferation’ does seem quite problematic. On the one hand, dealing with the specific problem of terrorists should improve intra-alliance cooperation; but, on the other hand, the broader issue of ‘arms proliferation’ contains too many complications for any realistic agreement to be reached. For instance, how might the US be expected to implement (and how might US citizens respond to) a US-Japan agreement which contains the following objective: “[N]either side should support, directly or indirectly, armed nonstate actors in the United States, Japan, or Asia Pacific”? (Miyasaka, 174-175) The Japanese government, in this case, would be better served by continuing with its multilateral stance on the broader issue of ‘arms proliferation’. In fact, just as “going all the way with LBJ” created numerous problems for Australian foreign policy during and after the Vietnam War, Japanese interests may well be better served – even in terms of dealing with the issue of terrorism – by promoting ‘multilateral’ intervention and being cautious about “going too far with ol’ Dubya”.
     

    There is little to complain and much to commend about the structure and style of this publication. The language is clear and concise, while the structure of the chapters enable the reader to follow the thoughts and arguments of the writers easily. The sub-headings are well placed and the occasional use of bullets to structure and separate key policy proposals is appropriately (though not overly) used. Each chapter is accompanied by extensive notes and a full bibliography that allows for further reading and research. These additions highlight the extensive research that has gone into this publication, as well as the authors’ comprehensive knowledge of their respective research areas. The minor criticisms that should be made concern the book’s title, the set-up of the introduction and the absence of a concluding chapter. Firstly, the book’s title, The Japan-US Alliance: New Challenges for the 21st Century, undersells what seems to be one of the main strengths of the book – the way in which it analyses the alliance in the broader East Asian context. This aspect of the book makes for a more invigorated analysis and it is a pity that it did not find its way into the title. Secondly, the book would have benefited if the introductory chapter had been more than a summary of the various chapters, if it had, instead, delved more deeply into the alliance’s background and provided some broad commentary on current alliance issues. Equally, the book would have benefited from a concluding chapter that brought together the various issues, thereby contributing to a stronger sense of cohesion. However, such knit-picking is easily overlooked in what is a very strong publication.
     

    ——————————————————————————–
     

    References
    Boeicho (1999), Guidelines for Japan-US Defense Cooperation, 23 September 1997, in Defense of Japan, Boei Hakusho Eigohan, translated by Urban Connections, pp. 279-286.

     
    List of Chapters
    Nishihara, Masashi, ‘The Japan-US Alliance: Defense Cooperation and Beyond’, pp. 9-18
    Murata, Koji, ‘Do the New Guidelines Make the Japan-US Alliance More Effective’, pp. 19-38
    Michishita, Narushige, ‘Security Arrangements after Peace in Korea’, pp. 39-70
    Nakai, Yoshifumi, ‘Policy Coordination on Taiwan’, pp. 71-102
    Sudo, Sueo, ‘Toward a Japan-US-ASEAN Nexus’, pp. 103-122
    Hoshino, Eiichi, ‘Economic Sanctions against Myanmar’, pp. 123-160
    Miyasaka, Naofumi, ‘Combating Arms Proliferation’, pp. 161-181
     

    ——————————————————————————–
     

    Some Useful Websites
    Japan Centre for International Exchange

    Japan Defense Agency

    Treaty of Mutual Cooperation and Security between Japan and the United States of America, 19 January 1960

    National Defense Program Outline in and after FY 1996, 28 November 1995

    Japan Ministry of Foreign Affairs

    Japan-U.S. Joint Declaration on Security – Alliance For the 21st Century, 17 April 1996

    The Guidelines for Japan-US Defense Cooperation, 23 September 1997

    US Department of State

    Defenselink at the US Department of Defense

    Department of Defense, The United States Security Strategy for the East Asia-Pacific Region 1998, 1998

    Center for Strategic and International Studies

    CSIS Japan Chair

    Hirano, Eri G. and William Piez (eds) (1998) Alliance for the 21st Century: The Final Report of the U.S.? Japan 21st Century Committee.

    ——————————————————————————–

    Further Reading
    Cossa, Ralph A. (ed) (1997) Restructuring the U.S.-Japan Alliance: Toward a More Equal Partnership, Washington, D.C.: Center for Strategic and International Studies.
    Curtis, Gerald L. (ed) (2000) New Perspectives on U.S.-Japan Relations, Tokyo: Japan Center for International Exchange.
    Funabashi, Yōichi (1999) Alliance Adrift, New York: Council on Foreign Relations Press.
    Green Michael J. and Patrick M. Cronin (eds) (1999) The U.S.-Japan Alliance: Past, Present, and Future, New York: Council on Foreign Relations Press.
    Hosoya, Chihiro and Tomohito Shinoda (eds) (1998) Redefining the Partnership: the United States and Japan in East Asia, Lanham, Md.: University Press of America.
    Inoguchi, Takashi and Pernendra Jain (eds) (2001) Japanese Foreign Policy Today: A Reader, New York: Palgrave.

     

    ——————————————————————————–
     

    About the author
     

    David Envall completed his Bachelor of Arts (Honours) with majors in Japanese and Political Science at the University of Melbourne, Australia, in 1998 and is now a doctoral candidate in the Department of Political Science at the same university. David was an exchange student at Sophia University in 1997 and is currently based at the Graduate School of Law at Hitotsubashi University as a Monbusho research student. The title of his research is Leadership, Leaders and Environments: A Study of Japanese Prime Ministers at the G7 Summits.

  54. jorgie jorgie

    Ay salamat nelbar…di ko na kailangang pumunta sa library. Ang galing mo talagang mag-type….100 WPM. Pero sa isang linggo ko na lang babasahin ha?

  55. nelbar nelbar

    To Armand Rubio :
     
    With regards to Science & Technology, noong panahon ko sa College (late 80’s to mid 90’s), madalas namin na ipagkumpara ang mga operational standards partikular na ang sa Telecomms. Nandyan ang GSM para sa Europe, CDMA naman sa US/North America at PHS naman para sa Japan.
    Hindi maikakaila na itong present technology set up sa bansa natin ay palaging naka-depende sa North America. Samantalang kung maihahalintulad naman sa mga kalapit bansa sa S.E. Asia ay mayroon din silang kani-kaniyang kinikilingan operational standard.
    Nagtataka lang ako kung bakit hindi magawa dito sa Pilipinas ang mga nagagawa ng Taiwanese, Malaysian at mga Koreano pagdating sa usapin ng Science & Technology.

    Noong nakaraang Sunday(09July) napakinggan ko sa radio ang sinabi ni LaRouche na “filipinos cultural affinity with the americans”. Sa palagay ko ay ito ang lalong nagpapalubog sa atin bilang isang bansa. Ang bansang Pilipinas ay walang ibang inaasahan kungdi ang Amerika. Kulang na lang na gawin na tayong probinsya ng Amerika. Sayang lang ang pinaglaban ng ating mga bayani.
    Sana mayroong mga kompanya sa Pilipinas na maipagmamalaki tulad ng ST/Singtel ng Singapore, Hutchison Whampoa/Jardine Matheson ng HK, Acer ng Taiwan, Samsung/Hyundai ng S.Korea o Toyota/Mitsubishi ng Japan.
    Oo nga nandyan ang PLDT, San Miguel at ibapa pero hindi mo pa maipagkukumampara ng mga binanggit ko sa itaas.

  56. nelbar nelbar

    jorgie, copy & paste ko lang yan 😉

  57. jorgie jorgie

    nelbar, mas lalong magaling! Biro mo kinopya mo na, na-paste mo pa. Matagal na trabaho iyan ah…Tungkol sa Amerika at Hapon at Pilipinas, kung minsan tuloy naisip ko ano kaya ang mangyayari kung nataon na ang Hapon ang nagwagi noon at sinakop tayo hanggang ngayon…siguro asenso na tayo (matutuwa si ystakei nito). Walang nangyari ang Pilipinas sa kamay ng mga Kano. Patuloy pa rin tayong alipin at ginagamit nila. Samantalang ang mga ibang bansa sa Asia ay umunlad na, naiiwanan na tayo dahil hawak tayo hindi lang sa leeg kundi pati sa bayag ng mga Kano. Iyan ang programa na inihanda nila sa atin. Hanggang tulong at taga-deliver lang ng raw materials sa kanila. Dahil ayaw nila tayong umasenso. Siyempre kung umasenso na tayo hindi na nila tayo mahahawakan.

  58. nelbar nelbar

    Alam mo jorg’ 😉 , mas gusgustuhin ng amerika na maging ahente nila ang bansang pilipinas para labanan o mapasok ang market ng china. wala akong pag-aaral niyan isa lamang itong espekulasyon 🙂
    O kaya makipag-bati o makipagkasundo ang pilipinas sa mga kalapit bansa nito tulad ng vietnam at indonesia para maging ahente ng western powers. para matuloy ang ganitong mithiin, kailangan ng mga hawkish ng kasangkapan para maisakatuparan ang kanilang strategic objective. sa palagay ko, isa sa mga kasangkapang ito ay ang relihiyon.
    kapag napasok na nang vatican ang mainland china tuloy tuloy na ang ligaya ng mga western powers at back to the middle ages na naman tayo dito sa asya.
    ipinagtataka ko lang bakit hindi interesado ang vatican na mapasok ang bansang hapon?
    ano sa palagay nyo?

    at bakit hindi rin interesado ang vatican sa kontinente ng africa na syang namang pinag-iinteresan ng china 😀

  59. Related Topic:
    “Nuclear arsenals threaten long-term and fatal damage to the global environment and its people. As such, their end is evil and both possession and use profoundly anti-God acts.”

    – From a statement by 19 bishops of the Church of England, opposing Prime Minister Tony Blair’s plan to replace aging Trident nuclear weapons in the U.K.

    Here’s the full text of their letter to The Independent:

    Sir:

    We write to add our voice to the public debate on the issue of the maintenance and renewal of the Trident nuclear weapons programme demanded by the House of Commons Defence Committee. We urge MPs seriously to consider our views when they come to a formal debate in the House and take part in any subsequent vote.

    Whatever our various views on conventional warfare, we all agree that Just War arguments rule out the use of nuclear weapons and such weapons challenge the very core of Judeo-Christian Faith where humanity is given responsibility for the stewardship of God’s creation. But there are also practical, moral and economic objections to the basic concept of having a deterrent.

    Practical because a deterrent is only effective if a potential enemy knows for certain it will be used. But the use of nuclear weapons would not be an option for us, as that would be nothing less than the mass murder of thousands if not tens of thousands of innocent civilians. The resultant fall-out from a tactical or battlefield weapon could not be confined to a particular area.

    Moral because it is morally corrupting to threaten the use of weapons of mass destruction even when there is no real intention of using them.

    Economic because the use of limited resources on WMDs diverts those resources from education, health and aid to those who are the poorest and most in need.

    Humanity has the power to make or mar this planet. Current concern over global warming and the environment, as well as poverty and debt among the world’s most vulnerable people, demonstrate the need to re-engage with the task of caring for the world and its people.

    Human dignity and freedom are foundation values for all people. Humanity has a right to live in dignity and freedom without fear. Trident and other nuclear arsenals threaten long-term and fatal damage to the global environment and its peoples. As such their end is evil and both possession and use profoundly anti-God acts.

    Nuclear weapons are a direct denial of the Christian concept of peace and reconciliation, which are social and economic as well as physical and spiritual. The Christian Gospel is one of hope, enabling humanity to live in harmony with itself and nature and leading to prosperity and community life marked by joy.

    At the Gleneagles summit a year ago the G8 pledged to “Make Poverty History” and to end the debt burden on the world’s poorest countries. The costs involved in the maintenance and replacement of Trident could be used to address pressing environmental concerns, the causes of terrorism, poverty and debt, and enable humanity and dignity to be the right of all, and would go a long way towards helping Make Poverty History.

    RT REVD PETER PRICE

    BISHOP OF BATH AND WELLS;

    RT REVD COLIN BENNETTS

    BISHOP OF COVENTRY

    RT REVD MICHAEL HILL, BISHOP OF BRISTOL

    RT REVD RICHARD LEWIS

    BISHOP OF EDMUNSBURY AND IPSWICH RT REVD JOHN SAXBEE, BISHOP OF LINCOLN RT REVD TIMOTHY STEVENS BISHOP OF LEICESTER RT REVD JACK NICHOLLS, BISHOP OF SHEFFIELD RT REV DR DAVID JAMES BISHOP OF BRADFORD AND 12 SUFFRAGAN BISHOPS

  60. jorgie jorgie

    nelbar, tama ka din. Anong malay natin may lihim na kasunduan ang US at China. At ang lahat ng iringan at away ay pakitang tao lamang. That’s how the US operates. They sometimes show they’re on your side; then behind this kindness and then stabs your back. Kung minsan naman kunwari galit pero sa likod ay tumatawa na lang.

  61. nelbar nelbar

    jorgie, abangan na lang natin kung ano talaga ang magiging opinyon at totoong posisyon ng mga amerikano sa diaoyu islands/senkaku islands

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