About 5,000 people on Tuesday crammed the vacant lot in front of the public market here to hear Estrada, who turned 73 the day before, vow to recapture Malacañang in this year’s elections.
Estrada attributed his improved ratings in a recent survey to the masses’ unwavering faith in him. A survey commissioned by the Manila Standard showed him statistically tied with Nacionalista Party presidential candidate Manuel Villar.
It was a rally-cum-TV talk show as Strictly Politics of ABS-CBN News Channel (ANC) held its fifth miting de avance live during the rally.
At exactly 7 p.m. the candidates stopped delivering speeches and people watched as host Pia Hontiveros interview Estrada, his running mate Makati Mayor Jejomar Binay and six of PMP’s senatorial candidates: former sectoral (Sanlakas) representative JV Bautista, NBN/ZTE whistleblower Joey de Venecia, Senate President Juan Ponce Enrile, Sen. Jinggoy Estrada, former Negros Occidental Rep. (5th district) Apolinario Lozada, Agusan del Sur Rep. Rodolfo Plaza, and former Sen. Francisco Tatad.
Click here (VERA Files) for the rest of the story and more rally photos.
There’s no denying that Erap still has star appeal.
Belated happy 73rd bday, Mr. ex-president! I did vote for you the first time you ran.
Malakas pa rin ang hatak ni Erapski. Tedanz et al…are you listening? 🙂
chi,
Nandito ako … hehehehehe … Mabuhay si Erap!!!!!! Mabuhay ang mga Erapski!!!!!
kung kay villar at noynoy lang puede na pagtiyagan si erap.
Like what I mentioned on the other thread. Erap was always no. 3 in the survey, but still won the presicency by a very wide margin. Don’t count Erap out yet. Sabi nga ni Erap: “They will have the surprised of their life….”
true it is..erap the next president..!!
in 1983, an american visionary once said of our country in
1983 after the assasination of sen ninoy aquino, the widow of the senator will become a president and the first woman president of the philippines, and the american visionary followed up, that there will be another woman president, although she was not elected by her people, she will sit as president and the man she cheated, will twice become a president..!!
24 April 2010
Correct, watch out for erap, if LP and NP don’t stop in their mudslinging camapigns, they will be in a big surprise come election day.
prans
Re: #6..
Oops… the survey I’m talking about was that of 1998 when Erap run and won.
Ang nakikita kong pwede maging dark horse ng elections na ito – its either Erap or Gibo Teodoro.
Kunsabagay, walang nakakaalam kung anong posibleng maging resulta ng May 10 elections. Fair game pa sa ngayon.
Noong 1998 elections, naalala ko pa na halos lahat nag concede na kay Erap like Roco, Lim, etc… ang ayaw sumuko noon ay si JDV. Halos umiiyak na nung nagpa-presscon siya and sinabi niyang imposibleng manalo si Erap sa kanya. Masyado niya sigurong dinibdib yung mga surveys noon. Hehehe 😛
My prediction, Erap will beat Manny Villarroyo. It will be Ninoy versus Erap for the presidency.
Kung pinagbigyan lang si Erap at FPJ sa puwesto na dapat sa kanila hindi mang-yayari ang ganitong pagpapahirap sa mamayang Filipino.Simula ng inagaw ni Evil Bitch Gloria Macapagal Arroyo 10 years walang nabago hanggang kailan.mababago ang bulok na
sistema sa Philippines.
Palitan na ninyo logo ninyo lagay ninyo Baboy.
SC
DOJ
Sandiganbayan
Ombudsman
AFP
PNP
ect….
Voteee ERAP para sa Pangulo
si Erap lang ang magpapatino sa Filipinas wala nang iba
ibalik ang karapatan ng bawat isa mayaman o mahirap dapat
pantay-pantay.Isang Bansa Isang Bandila ang problama nang pilipinas ay nasa mindanao.kung maaayos lang ang mindanao hindi sasapitin nang buong bansa ang kaliwat kanang corruption
apetadong lahat gawa ng corruption sa mindanao bitayin ang dapat bitayin walang mercy…
It’s only now that this blog posted something positive about Erap. Dati-dati eh bawal pa ngang pag-usapan at wala daw sa topic. Better late than never. It only shows that people including this blog have no choice but to support Erap. Sa patuloy ng bangayan nina Villar at Noynoy, si Erap ang nakikinabang. Surprisingly, Erap kept a low profile until recently when he exposed Villar’s PSE deal. Sabi nga niya, wala siyang pakialam kung makatulong kay Noynoy ang pagbulgar niya basta alam ng tao ang katotohanan.
If El Shaddai’s Bro, Mike Velarde is still in his right mind, he should not endorse Villar because Velarde is a partner in crime. Sa C-5 Road scam na lang, inako ni Velarde. Actually, El Shaddai is just waiting for INC’s decision who to vote. Gaya-gaya kasi ang El Shaddai. Pero may balitang baka kay Gibo ang INC.
Si lider iwagayway ang kamay ng may papel de bangko,para sa aking negosyo,walang kasalanan sa mga”engot”na naniwala sa isang “pekeng sugo ng diyos”,ang malaking kasalanan niya ay sa dakilang lumikha,ginawang gatasan ang mga naniniwala sa kanyang mga sinasabing kabulastugan.pati ang isang maduduragas ngayon ay inaakoang pagpaliko ng kalyeng pagdurusang babayaran ni JUAN,dahil gustong maisahan ang mga mahihirap.Super HUNGYANGO ang hinayupak na iyan kung sino ang nasa kapangyarihan ay dinidikitan,kunway spiritual adviser,pero nungka may dalang sako upang mangulimbat.
Mario, re #13so you have resurrected under this name again. I have already forgotten the different indentities you have assumed in the past.
I advocate free and healthy discusssion.
But I’ll never allow falsehood. Like this allegation: Dati-dati eh bawal pa ngang pag-usapan at wala daw sa topic.
I will not bother to explain to you.
I have no patience for your distorted views.
This blog is not dedicated to Estrada nor to any personality.
If you don’t like the way I run this blog, then don’t participate here.
Ellen, I’m with you re your response to “Mario”. You’ve always run your blog equitably, allowing each of us here to let off steam, regardless of our political affiliations/favorite candidates. Congratulations!
In my opinion, SWS , Pulse Asia and other surveys cannot be relied since they may not have considered each member of the population to have an equal and known chance of being selected. When there are very large populations of voters, it is often difficult or impossible to identify every member of the population, so the pool of available subjects becomes BIASED. Philippines voter statistics can be surveyed by age group, economic sectors and campaign spending. I will not explain campaign spending here. Age group is very interesting since the youth age 18-28 comprises 50% of total voters population. Philippines has 51 million registered voters. Let me explain why using the following statistics. you all can check the facts.
age 18 to 28 = 25 million nationwide. Thats almost 50% of total voters.
age 29 to 39 = 15.9 million voters. That’s about 30% of total voters
age 40 to 51= 6.12 million voters. That’s about 12 of total voters
age 52 and up= 4.1 million voters. That’s about 8% of total voters.
There are three factors for survey accuracy
1. Size of samples ( it’s best to use at least 2500 or over as samples)
2. Percentage ( 50% of the samples must come from 18-28 age bracket since they comprise 50% of the total registered voters.
3. Population ( there are 51 million voters separated by islands)
Randomly picking 1500 samples without considering the percentage of voters in a particular age group will result to a large margin of error. CIG is by far the most reliable as it conforms to international survey standards.
Failure to disclose who were sampled, their age and the percentage of voters in a given age group is not good for Mang Juan and Pedro.
On economic sectors, survey samples must also use the percentage or equal share of a given class.
ON CIG, GIBO is now number one. There are also 21% undecided voters according to CIG. In my analysis, these undecided voters will most likely vote for the most competent in management, credibility and leadership. And who would that be? definitely not Yellow or Orange…or not even Erap..
I think SWS (as well as Pulse Asia) are credible survey firms. In fact, SWS reportedly received a second award from Gallup World Poll just recently. Here’s a portion of that news item:
“Social Weather Stations (SWS) was recognized by the Gallup World Poll for Outstanding Commitment to Methodological Rigor at its “2010 World Poll Training”, held at the Hotel Sofitel Silom, Bangkok last February 24-26, 2010.
The recognition certifies that “SWS has met the highest standards in data collection methodology across all countries surveyed in the Asia Region of the World Poll.”
Well, if its Erap, its Erap, judging by the way people are responding, Pacquiao might even win too! 🙂
Maaring manalo pa rin si ERAP dahil mas malaki ang boto ng masa. Kahit na kalahati lang ang bumoto sa kanya noong 1998, limang milyon boto pa rin yun. Sa higpit ng labanan para sa pangulo, ang limang milyon boto ay malaki na. Ang kinaka takutan ko lang ay baka kunin ang mga boto nya at idagdag sa iba. Hindi kasi masyadong maayos ang organisasyon nya ngayon at hindi mababantayan ang mga boto nya. Akreditado ba ang PMP bilang pangunahin oposisyon para makakuha ng resulta agad?
Somewhere in America (not sure what State) in the early 1900’s, the Suffrage Movement came about led by some determined women to amend the US Constitution by allowing women the right to vote. If I recall correctly, it was a hard fought battle and became a law in the 1920’s.
My query is directed to Sax, and other lawyers here about the possibility of amending our constitution and to repeal the voting rights of those that can’t read nor write. Unlike in the US, this is not a racist law; but I acknowledge however, it is a prejudicial.
Then again, since our motherland is clinging on the very edge of being a half-ass democratic state in the first place; and it’s almost a dictatorial type of government – what would prevent this repeal/amendment from becoming a reality. Just a thought.
Mga pro-Erap dyan, huwag kaagad mag-alburoto.
“Mario, re #13so you have resurrected under this name again. I have already forgotten the different indentities you have assumed in the past.” – Ellen
Hmmmm….ang bilang ko, eh mahigit 20. Ewan ko ki Chi. Andyan lang yan, pro ngayon, and in a minute con na naman.
This is your blog, so you can pretty much zero in on where they’re coming from.
Cheers na lang.
Jug, baka nga manalo si Pacman this time around. Inendorso siya ni Erap eh. Hehehe 🙂
Not true mario. There were the voluminous posts of balweg with stats on Erap’s performance. There were posts of Tedanz as well. There was a tit for tat between the both, and henry90. Baka matagal ka lang absent.
There was also mine, but only in reference to a link, after I went for Erap.
http://www.frauslatet.blogspot.com/
tru, nagsawa na ako ng kabibilang simula pa ng artsee hanggang peter see aka pechanco na inaldabes ng tuluyan ni cocoy.
Ang mario ay matagal na naming bistado ni Mags ayaw lang namin na masira ang diskusyon sa Ellenville. Ang nangyari naman dahil walang pumapansin dito ay nagwala dun kay pareng cocoy at ke daming tinarget, sama ka. Pinagbakasyunan ko na lang, Lalabas pa yan sa ibang a.k.a., hindi pa tapos ang pagmamaktol. hehehe.
Nakakasira sa ‘image’ ni Erapski ang blogger na yan. Die hard kuno ni Erap pero hindi ako naniniwala. Iba ang agenda e.
And back to Erap…
Basta malinis ang eleksyon wala akong reklamo. We can start (again) from a clean process. Kaya madalas kong sabihin dito na mas pabor ako sa labang Noynoy-Erap dahil hindi nila kailangang mandaya, hindi sila mandaraya ng boto dahil meron silang enough supporters to make one of them win in a fair election.
RE: Basta malinis ang eleksyon wala akong reklamo…?
Well, nice to be backed again folks…korek igan Chi, sana maulit muli ang 1998 na landslide na panalo ng Pangulong Erap kasi nga di ba ito ang pinakatahimik, maayos at walang dayaan.
Hope na this coming May 10 eleksyon e maging maayos ang lahat.
Ang dami kasing pasaway ang gusto e sila ang manalo, but nawa ang majority ang masunod at di ang mga KSP/SSP sa ating lipunan.
On ERAP , of course he is still appealing to the masang pinoy. ERAP’s voters are considered a decrease of votes that are supposed to be for Villar and Noynoy. GIBO is targetting a different niche. These are voters who already understand true democracy by actively participating. The result of this election will determine how educated and mature filipino voters are.
On Pulse Asia, it is owned by Noynoy’s cousin Rafa. SWS is in directly doing business with ABS-CBN for business purposes. The result of a a biased survey can be used to lure business entities to support a certain candidate without considering other important qualities that a President should have. Noynoy is by far the most incompetent among them all. Mabuti pa si lito Lapid, he was able to legislate one BILL. These two surveys are perfect for a popularity contest and never mind the brains, achievements, skills and leadership in management.
Any business will always work hard to achieve a certain certificate or an award for advertising, branding its product to use the certificate as a marketing advantage. It does not mean that its award is applicable to the current election. SWS was awarded according to other services but not for this election. We have yet to elect a president so that award is not applicable to this event. SWS and Pulse Asia may have used the ramdom, convenience or the snow balling type of survey? Tell them to come to CEBU and survey the Cebuanos alone , let’s see if SWS and PULse Asia will have Noynoy as the winner.
Conditioning the minds of Mang Juan and Pedro is a direct assault to human rights. Education is the best strategy to empower the people.
hiii to all bloggers here
Kumusta na kayong lahat.. manang ellen musta lalo naaa sa matagal nang mga nag blog dito miss kuna si manag yuko ahhh saan na ba sya manang. matagal na akong nagbabasa dito ngayon lang ako nag type dito kulang kasi ako sa kaalaman di tulad nang iba dito na mga merong abogado,journalist ex-military ect…
True blu
ulitin ko lang di ako maka Erap gusto ko si Noynoy ang problema lang yung mga nakapaligid sa kanya sila ang dahilan kaya nagkaloko-loko ang Pilipinas…sa nakikita ko
pag si Noynoy ang naking Pangulo halos pareho din ang manyayari mga sariling interes lang ang mga gagawin dahil sa mga nakapaligid sa kanya Importante ang National Security si Erap lang ang makakagawa niyon tulad nang ginawa niya sa Mindanao maganda sana kung hindi Binaboy ni Gloria ang AFP ( SAYANG-SAYANG NA PAGKAKAKATON ) kung hindi magulo sa Mindanao walang MILF,ABU SAYAF.MNLF. hindi apektado ang buong bansa madaming foreigner ang pupunta sa Pilipinas para mag tayo nang Negosyo…
Tell them to come to CEBU and survey the Cebuanos alone , let’s see if SWS and PULse Asia will have Noynoy as the winner.
————————————–
We have a song that goes “sa cebung dapita, piso ray donselya” – when it comes to Cebu, money talks, and only money talks…thats coming from a real cebuano…pastilan paita gyud…
Ang opinion ko, hindi hinadlangan ng gobyerno ang pagtakbo ni Erap dahil ang akala ng Malacanang si Erap ang aagaw sa mga boto para kay Aquino. Mabuti na lang at tumakbo si Erap at sina Erap at Villar ngayong ang nag aagawan ng karamihan ng boto ng masang Pinoy. Ang asar lang ni Villar at yung 18%-20% ni Erap ay dapat sa kanya at sobrang sobra sana ang ilalamang nya kay Aquino.
Noong 1998, clear winner si Erap bago mag election. Noong Disyembre 1997, No. 1 sa survey si Raul Roco, No. 2 si JDV at No. 3 si Erap. Nung papalapit na ang 1998 election, si Erap na ang clear winner base sa survey kaya nga may alingasngas noon na si Mangahas ng SWS ay may connection kay Erap kaya nangununa na sa survey. kahit na bumaba ang rating ni Roco at na naka overtake si JDV sa survey, Roco pa rin ang binoto ko.
Sa mga naniniwala sa survey, may report sa bagong SWS survey.
http://www.gmanews.tv/story/189368/noynoy-leads-by-double-digits-over-villar-in-new-sws-survey\
Aquino – 38% (+1)
Villar – 26% (-2)
Estrada – 17% (-2)
Teodoro – 9% (+3)
Gordon – 2% (-1)
Villanueva – 2%
OT:
http://www.gmanews.tv/story/189368/noynoy-leads-by-double-digits-over-villar-in-new-sws-survey
Umaasa pa ba si Gibo? Dapat yung logo ng Liberal Party – yung malaking “L” – ilagay niya sa noo niya. Loser!
He is a big joke. No one will forget the way he pushed his debut into the presidential fray. Via infomercials in Manny Pacquiao’s fight blahblah-ing on disaster preparedness. He turned out later as the most unprepared NDCC chair at the time Ondoy struck. An he blames the fucking traffic for his failure! His words are as empty as his bankrupt political machine and his appeal is as desirable as root canal drilling.
Again, loser!