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Binay in a freefall

Going down fast.
Going down fast.
Obviously, Vice President Jejomar Binay’s early campaigning was not enough to offset the negative impact of the Senate Blue Ribbon subcommittee investigation which has exposed his alleged mindboggling corruption operations in Makati City.

His scores in Pulse Asia surveys on presidential preference, performance and trust ratings are in a freefall.

In the survey conducted November 14 to 20 Binay’s rating dropped by 21 percentage points (from 66 percent in September to only 45 percent in November).

His trust rating also took a steep decline – 20 percentage points, from 64 percent in September to 44 percent in November.

On presidential preference, he started from a high of 41 per cent in June-July 2014 survey, he dropped to 31 per cent in last September’s poll.

Last month Pulse Asia asked 1,200 adults all over the country who they would vote for president of the 14 names in the list if elections were held today. Binay was down to 26 per cent.

Steep decline of Binay's performance rating
Steep decline of Binay’s performance rating

It should be stressed that at 26 per cent, the Vice President is still the leading presidential hopeful. (Sen. Grace Poe is second with 18 percent followed by Sen.Miriam Santiago with 12 percent, and Manila Mayor Joseph Estrada with 10 percent. Sen. Francis Escudero is if fifth with seven percent and Interior Secretary Mar Roxas is sixth with six per cent.)

It is 17 months away to the 2016 election. Binay sympathizers say there is still a lot of time for the people to forget all the corruption allegations and images of unexplained wealth like the Batangas Hacienda.
That is, if Senators Alan Peter Cayetano and Antonio Trillanes IV are through with him.

The issues raised in the Senate hearings have taken a life of their own: More information on his dark dealings and connections are being fed to media. The Bureau of Internal Revenue is following tips that were brought out in the Senate investigation. Same thing with the Office of the Ombudsman.
Losing public's trust

For this Christmas season and in January, when the people would be pre-occupied with the visit of Pope Francis, Binay would have a respite. After that, the battle will continue.

It’s not only the Vice President. His wife, former Makati Mayor Elenita Binay, would be busy with her own graft cases. Of course, she would have no problem with posting bail but still, it’s stressful.

More plunder charges are expected to be filed against the vice president. He has to fend that off because plunder is unbailable. He can’t afford to be in detention during the campaign. That situation may turn him into a martyr but that would cramp his campaign.

Binay’s camp say that the Vice President cannot be sued invoking the Constitutional provision that “There shall be a Vice-President who shall have the same qualifications and term of office and be elected with, and in the same manner, as the President. He may be removed from office in the same manner as the President.”

One school of thought is that, since the President is immune from suit while in office and can only be removed by impeachment, the same applies to the Vice President.

There are other lawyers who disagree.

The question is expected to be brought before the Supreme Court. Until the issue is resolved, potential contributors will hold back and wait for clearer signals. That would adversely affect Binay’s campaign.

Further decline in voters preference would be extremely detrimental to Binay’s presidential ambition.

Published in2016 electionsMalayasurveys

5 Comments

  1. MPRivera MPRivera

    si binay ay hindi direktang kaalyado bagama’t malapit na kaibigan ng pamilya aquino at tila lumalabas na siya lamang ang binubugbog sa kontrobersiya mula nu’ng magdeklara siyang tatakbo sa panguluhan sa 2016. kung ano ano’ng akusasyon ang ibinabato sa kanya na ang basehan ay reklamo ng isang magnanakaw na dati niyang kaalyado. nagsangasanga na ang hindi maipaliwanag kaso. naglilitawan ang mga ebidensiyang karamihan ay binuo sa ILLEGAL na paraan.

    sa gitna ng mga paratang at hindi matapos tapos na pagdidiin sa kanya, HETO ang lumabas mula sa pagsusuri ng ahensiya ng gobyernong may kinalaman sa kasong pinupukte sa media.

    paano ipapaliwanag ito?

    http://www.philstar.com/bansa/2014/12/13/1401967/walang-hacienda-si-binay-sa-batangas-dar

  2. MPRivera MPRivera

    ibig sabihin, TALAGANG galit ang magnanakaw sa kapwa magnanakaw, di ba? sinuportahan ni binay ang pagpapatalsik kay dating pangulong marcos DAHIL sa paratang na korapsiyon pangalawa sa ilalim ng diktadurya SAPAGKAT nakikita nilang (binay and party) hindi sila makakakilos nang malaya upang makapagnakaw din sa gobyerno (tulad marahil nang unti unti at dahan dahan nilang ginawa noong sila (mag-asawa)ang palitpalitang mamuno sa makati na ipinasa sa anak na kasalukuyang meyor ng lungsod.

    masasabi ko lang na itong mga nag-akusa kay binay ay santambak na engot din dahil hindi nila naisip na itong isa ay isang abogado at alam KUNG paano magtago ng krimen upang hindi siya mabuko (kung totoo ngang siya (binay ang tunay na may ari ngsinasabing asyenda sa rosario, batangas) sakaling magkaroon ng dobol kros o saksakan sa likod na karaniwang nangyayari sa magkakasangga sa paggawa ng katiwalian. grabeng engot din ang mga katulad nina cayetano at maging si trillanes din sapagkat hindi muna nila kinalap ang mga hindi mapapasubaliang ebidensiya BAGO sila nagpasabog ng bomba laban sa pamilay binay.

    sa haba ba naman ng panahong iniupo ng mga binay sa makati na hanggang ngayon ay kontrol pa rin nila dahil meyor pa ‘yung anak, kahit naman siguro abogadong pulpol ay hindi mag-iiwan ng bakas upang matunton na siya ang itinuturo ng mga ebidensiya.

    kultura na ‘yan sa gobyerno KAYA huwag na tayong umasang magkakaroon pa tayo ng matinong mga lider DAHIL hindi ma diretsahang silang mga nakaupo ang aabuso MAS malamang ang mga galamay at mga taong tinatanawan nila ng utang na loob na naging daan upang sila ay mapalagay sa puwesto.

    kaya nga, hanggang sa magunaw ang mundo ang mga kawawang juan, NGANGA!

  3. I wrote this comment in January using my crystal ball and it seems the pieces are falling into place accordingly. I predicted Erap will dump Binay and support Grace Poe; he announced it on Sunday. Binay’s war chest will run dry, his donors will shift money to Grace Poe. Binay is dead meat.

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