Skip to content

Nationwide exit poll:6-4-2

Six Genuine Opposition candidates, four Team Unity bets and two independents are poised to win the top 12 slots in the Senate race, results of the 2007 ABS-CBN/Pulse Asia nationwide exit poll revealed Tuesday.

1. Legarda
2. Escudero
3. Villar
4. Lacson
5. Pangilinan
6. Aquino
7. Angara
8. Arroyo
9. Trillanes
10. Zubiri
11. Honasan
12. Recto

GO candidate Loren Legarda topped the exit poll with 58.5 percent of votes, followed by Francis Escudero (53.3%), Manuel Villar (49.8%) and Panfilo Lacson (46.4%).

Independent candidate Francis Pangilinan placed fifth in the exit poll with 44.6 percent of votes, followed by GO’s Benigno Aquino III (42.6%), Team Unity’s Edgardo Angara (41.1%) and Joker Arroyo (36.8%) and GO’s Antonio Trillanes IV (35.4%).

TU’s Juan Miguel Zubiri placed 10th in the exit poll with 34.9 percent of votes. Independent candidate Gregorio “Gringo” Honasan (34.6%) and TU’s Ralph Recto (34.3%) rounded out the last two slots.

Pulse Asia said there is a statistical chance that the last four candidates on the list could be replaced by other senatorial bets.

GO’s Alan Peter Cayetano placed 13th on the list with 31 percent of votes, followed by TU’s Prospero Pichay Jr. (30.4%), GO’s Aquilino “Koko” Pimentel III (28.5%) and Sonia Roco (28.4%) and TU’s Michael Defensor (28.2%) and Vicente “Tito” Sotto III (26.2%).

Pulse Asia started conducting its exit poll as soon as voters finished casting their votes Monday for the national and local elections and returned to their homes.

Ana Maria Tabunda, Pulse Asia executive director, said the survey firm targeted 10,620 completed response forms from 79 provinces less than a day after polling precincts closed.

She said Pulse Asia chose 15 respondents per precinct in urban districts and 12 respondents per precinct in rural districts. Once a house is randomly chosen, the interviewer randomly selects a voter. Indelible ink on the voter’s finger will indicate that he or she has voted. If he or she is registered and did not vote, the interview would still push through.

Once a voter is selected, a form that is similar to a Commission on Elections ballot is given. The respondent will be instructed by the interviewer to fill in the names that the repondents wrote inside the polling booth. The voter will then fold the form and drop it in a box that is sealed.

“It will be very evident for the respondent that it cannot be opened easily,” she said.

She said Pulse Asia deployed 1,000 field interviewers to conduct the exit poll. The field interviewers randomly chose the respondents at 9 a.m. election day. All field interviews were finished at 9 p.m. of the same day.

The results were encoded in a software program made by Taylor Nielsen Software after which a group of statisticians will then analyze the results for accuracy and completion.

GO bets have their say
Interviewed at the same time news broke out about the results of the exit polls, Cayetano said he believes that eight of his coalition mates will make it to the top 12.

With regard to his standing, Cayetano said it is too early to rely on the results of the exit polls’ results.

“Sa case ko, estimate ko and I respect Pulse Asia, eight percent ang nawawala sa akin (In my case and as I estimate it, eight percent of my votes are missing),” he told ABS-CBN’s “TV Patrol World.”

He said the exit polls’ results might have yet to take account the outcome of his two-week media blitz telling voters to write his full name of “Alan Peter Cayetano” instead of his surname only.

The Commission on Elections ruled that voters should write the full name of the GO senatorial bet to be counted in the tally. A vote written only as “Cayetano” will be considered a stray vote and will not be counted in favor of the opposition candidate.

Cayetano said that in fact, based on GO’s sources, he is doing somewhere between the sixth and eighth places in the Visayas and sixth-ninth in certain areas in Metro Manila.

For her part, Legarda echoed Cayetano’s statement.

She said it is too early to rejoice but at the same time, she is happy with the results of the exit polls. “Kailangan pong mabantayan ang ating mga boto at napakaraming lugar pa sa Luzon, Visayas at Mindanao ang hindi pa tapos ang pagbibilang (There are still many places in Luzon, the Visayas and Mindanao that have yet to conclude their tallies).”

She said that until the final and official tally result has been revealed, the people should not let their guard down.

Published inElection 2007

39 Comments

  1. chi chi

    Mukhang mahihirapan silang dayain sin Trillanes dahil mahigpit magbantay ang mga tao at kapwa SUNDALO! Takot silang galawin kundi ay ang mga sundalo mismo ang tatayo laban sa kanila, samantalang hindi na sila sasantuhin pa ng mga tao.

    Trillanes has sprung a surprise on the corrupts!

    At lumalabas na hindi rin sila titigil hanggang nakikita nila sa magic 12 si Alan! We are with you Alan, fight to the end!

  2. Etnad Etnad

    Panalangin ko lang ay sana tulungan ng mga taga oposisyon si Alan. Hindi yong porke nanalo na sila e biglang iwan na lang nila ang kasama nila. Mangyayari yan. Lalo’t sila ay isang politiko. Sana ay maituwid ang mali na kagagawan ng mga buwakanginang mga bayarin na yan. Yang Abalos na yan na kung akala mo pag nagsalita talo pa ang mga pari pero nungka ……. siya’y isang Buwaya.

  3. chi chi

    Galit na galit si Blinky Tianak sa nationwide exit poll na ito! Hindi lang siya nasampal, nasipa at natadyakan pa!

    Pray, pray, pray na hindi siya magtagumpay sa kanilang masamang balak!

  4. baycas baycas

    gaya ng kay brother eddie villanueva at eddie gil noon, dumarami na ang co-accidence ngayon!!!

    Senatorial race:
    Alan Peter Cayetano v.
    Joselito Cayetano (supposedly disqualified)

    Davao mayoralty (ito baka ‘di sadya):
    Rodrigo Duterte v.
    Rodrigo Sulamin

    Valenzuela City mayoralty:
    Jose Emmanuel “Bobbit” Carlos v.
    Nestor Palando and Salvador Gilva, nicknamed “Bobbit” and “Carlos”

    Pasay City mayoralty:
    Wenceslao Trinidad v.
    Ramon Trinidad and Neil Trinidad (supposedly disqualified)

    …nakakalungkot pag nagkataong matatalo si alan.

    —–

    nanghihinayang ako sa mga oposisyonista na hindi bumoto ng straight GO.

    —–

    sana lumusot talaga si trillanes sa magic 12 sa bandang huli kahit pa dayain.

  5. chi chi

    Anna,

    A lot of stray votes due to two Cayetanos running, the real one and the kargador! This is pulling our Alan down! Methink, Blinky and Oinky will not let Alan win, no matter what!

  6. TonGuE-tWisTeD TonGuE-tWisTeD

    baycas,
    loko ka talaga, dati nangampanya ka dito para sa Kapatiran tapos nanghihinayang ka. But I also have a confession to make, hindi rin ako nag-straight GO, heheh. I dropped Osmeña then included Honasan and Paredes.

  7. TonGuE-tWisTeD TonGuE-tWisTeD

    Baycas,
    idagdag mo pa, sa Pasay, the ever-talunan Ricardo “Ding” Santos of Lakas (remember the guy who “rescued” Bishop Oscar Cruz’ jueteng witnesses Rivas and another guy?) was not spared by his own. Edgardo “Ding” Santos, a known Kampi leader, did his patron, Allan Panaligan a big favor by joining the congressional fray to make sure Allan’s bid is not at all threatened by the ex-cop. Imagine, two Ding Santoses in one election! Wrong move. Our candidate, Dr. Lito Roxas won by landslide.

    Ding Santos made sure this time he won’t contest Peewee’s bid, he even supported him by not fielding a Lakas mayoralty candidate and included Peewee’s name in the sample ballot. Santos’ daughter, Puchet, was similarly situated as she was pitted against a certain Grace Santos in the council race. Bastusan talaga dito sa Pasay. Ang bastos yung mga Kampi!

    Galit yata ang Kampi pati sa Lakas, ano?

  8. Elvira Sahara Elvira Sahara

    Sana naman matulungan si Alan at si Trillanes na huwag mawala sa Magic 12. I can’t do anything but PRAY for them! PRAY:::Pray and PRAY more!

  9. TonGuE-tWisTeD TonGuE-tWisTeD

    Anna, Chi,
    There is this rule that the Comelec’s decision to strike Joselito Cayetano’s name off the list will need 5 days before it becomes final. And since it was promulgated only last Friday, the move was really adding insult to injury. I’m sure if Allan had his way, he would have stopped all the precinct-level counting nationwide until it was Wednesday, but he couldn’t do that as the Supreme Court was closed after the decision was announced.

    I can understand Alan’s feeling helpless and frustrated but if I were him I wouldn’t let it show, no I won’t give the Pig the satisfaction by showing it.

  10. chi chi

    Tongue,

    What will happen to the stray votes that should have been credited to Alan in the first place, if and if Kargador Juju’s name is taken off the list after 5 days? Ibabalik ba iyon kay Alan?

  11. TonGuE-tWisTeD TonGuE-tWisTeD

    Further, we had the same experience with Peewee. The other TWO Trinidads were ordered stricken-off the list. The COMELEC first ordered the first one on May 3, we felt it was a trial balloon to see how the Gods will take it. The other one was ordered stricken off the list May 9, exactly 5 days before election. This guy’s name still was included on election day and his votes counted.

    It was part of a grand plan to make things difficult for Peewee Trinidad, because on election day at exactly 4 PM or as the counting was just beginning, Connie Dy’s watchers, some with her lawyers, distributed copies of a letter signed by DILG’s Puno confirming the Ombudsman’s decision to dismiss Peewee for grave misconduct. They held that Peewee cannot invoke the rule on the Equity of the Incumbent to favor him if a voter wrote only “Trinidad” since he had already been dismissed.

    But we were one step ahead of them as our lawyers already obtained an opinion from Alioden Dalaig of Comelec’s Legal Dept. where he says in the letter, “…the decision of the Ombudsman has not yet become final as it has been appealed to the Court of Appeals”. Also, “Wenceslao Trinidad is still considered the incumbent elective Mayor of Pasay City, having been elected to said position in the May 2004 Elections”. We got the copy just that morning of election day and made sure the principal of the school I was supervising had distributed copies to all her teachers.

    The opponents’ lawyers looked dumb afterwards and I even got the pricipal to announce on the school’s PA System, “walang kukuha ng kung anu-anong papel kung kani-kanino. Lahat ng official documents, manggagaling lang sa opisina ko.” Our watchers hooted at the now-red-in-the-face people of Connie Dy upon hearing the announcement. I can’t imagine the huge number of stray votes that would have been lost had we not gotten Dalaig’s official stand.

    Akala nila sa amin mga tanga?

  12. TonGuE-tWisTeD TonGuE-tWisTeD

    Chi,
    no more, canvassing will only count the votes that appear on the ERs. If it was “stray” on the time of counting, it is not included for canvassing. Only those whose precinct-level counting that’s ongoing by Wednesday can count it in Alan’s favor.

    Strange, isn’t it?

  13. chi chi

    Tongue,

    Ang daya nila, talaga! Planadong-planado ang kaso ni Alan.

  14. baycas baycas

    tongue,

    kay doc martin (aka dr. b) lang ako. naipaliwanag ko ang lohika ng pagboto ng straight GO sa Nos. 1168 & 1169 ni ellen.

    dirty tricks talaga umiiral. ipagdarasal ko rin si mayor peewee (atbp, siyempre!).

    ginahasa na ng Kampi ang Lakas sa iilang lugar. marami ang nanghina at kumampi (bumigay) na lang!!! pero sa Camarines Sur, galit ang ama ng Kampi na si Luis (villafuerte) sa Lakas ng anak niyang si Lray. mahirap talagang mang-rape ng kadugo…lalo na kung kapuwa lalaki!

    buwisit na comelec!!! dapat pinahiwalay ang bilang ng “Cayetano” lang…sigurado namang kakatigan ng SC ang en banc desisyon. mahirap at napakagastos nang balikan ang mga balota pag nagkataon.

    hayaan mong magalak nang husto ang nangayayat na si fg…baka sakaling tumaas uli ang presyon…

  15. cocoy cocoy

    Laglag na naman si Trillanes at koko Pimentel sa magic 12,pumasok na si Recto at Zubiri.Hihilahin na naman pababa si Allan Cayetano para kay Defensor.Iyan ang plano ng TU kasi iyong Lima na sina Escudero,Legarda,Lacson,Noynoy Aquino,at Villar ay sigurado na iyon.Panay na ng TU ang papasok.Si Pangilinan at Honasan ay hihilutin na iyon para hindi magkagulo.Bantayang mabuti at sigurado iyan ang plano nila.

  16. Diego K. Guerrero Diego K. Guerrero

    T.U.T.A.’s so-called command vote is a paper tiger. As predicted, LGU’s from governors to barangay captains have no influence to their constituency whom to vote. I presumed they took bribes in kind or money and voted according to their conscience. A political victory of ex-Navy Lt. Trillanes is repudiation or rejection of corrupt, inept and bogus Commander-in Chief Gloria Arroyo and her loyal attack dog AFP rogue Chief General Esperon. I’m thinking of a grim scenario in a senate hearing/inquiry in case of General Esperon’s abuse of power, electioneering and political killings headed by the “Honorable Senator” Antonio Trinalles IV. Trillanes is grilling General Assperon until thy kingdom come. Sabi ni Erap: “weather-weather lang“!

  17. chi chi

    I’m confident that Antonio Trillanes 1V will become a Senator!

  18. TonGuE-tWisTeD TonGuE-tWisTeD

    Chi,
    Eto nga tinetext ako ng HQ dahil yung abugago ni Connie Dy, pilit raw ginugulo ang canvass para patagalin. Kumpirmasyon na ito na alam na rin ni Connie Dy na talo siya. Bawat ER daw kinikwestiyon ng ulol na Atty Ramos dahil yun daw Neil Trinidad at Ramon Trinidad biniang para kay Peewee. Lintek na hunghang yun, a.

    Kahit pakiramdam namin kahapon dehado kami, feeling magnanimous pa nga kami kaya order namin, kung buo ang pangalan ni Neil Trinidad, bilangin sa kanya, dahil yung 5-day rule pwedeng gawan ng interpretasyong baluktot kaya ipinaubaya na namin. Yung ruling ng Comelec kasi na i-strikeout yung Neil Trinidad nuon lang May 9 na-promulgate. Mahirap na. Eksaktong 5 days noong election day, e.

    Pero yung kay Ramon Trinidad, sakop na ng Sec. 211 dahil hindi siya umapela sa desisyon noong May 3. Kaya as of May 8, wala nang kandidatong Ramon Trinidad. Sabi kasi sa Sec. 211 pag may bumoto sa Pangalang hindi kandidato at apelyido ay may kaapelyidong kandidato, ang apelyido ang mananaig. Pero sa kasong ito, meron ding ka-apelyidong iba, kaya ang masusunod, yung equity of the incumbent. Kaso, hindi nila mademolish yung argumento namin sa equity of the incumbent dahil nga sa sulat ni Atty. Dalaig ng Comelec.

    Tinitira naman ni Ramos ngayon na kesyo hindi raw selyado yung opinyon ni Dalaig. Kundi ba naman bopol, o sadyang pinatatagal para makaporma yung mga madyikero ni Garci, ang ipinapakita lang namin kahapon puro photocopy, siyempre, hindi naman nakokopya ang dry seal, e. Pero yung orig, hawak ng mga abugado ng Soriano, Velez and Partners. Hindi namin pahihipo sa kanya iyon, baka masukahan pa niya!

    Delaying tactic lang ng talunan iyan. Problema, yung mga konsehal na nanalo na, baka madamay pa pag nag-operate na yung grupo ni Garci o Roque Bello. Inihahanda na yung mga pekeng ERs na ninakaw DAW sa Comelec. Siyempre pag may nagpanic, gulo. Pag may gulo, maaaring lumusot ang dagdag-bawas.

    Nagbigay na kami ng instruction sa mga tao. Cool lang sila. Huwag silang pauudyok o magpa-provoke dahil siguradong masisingitan kami. Pilit nila kaming aasarin, pero sila lang ang maaasar.

    Pikon, Talo!

  19. TonGuE-tWisTeD TonGuE-tWisTeD

    Slip of The TonGuE:
    “…dahil yun daw Neil Trinidad at Ramon Trinidad binilang para kay Peewee.”

  20. TonGuE-tWisTeD TonGuE-tWisTeD

    Back to topic: “Nationwide Exit poll: 6-4-2”

    Sa amin, 9-1-2 ang labas kaya siguradong pasusukahin ni Gloria ng pera si Connie Dy. Sa dami ng ibinatong kwarta sa kanya, tinanggal pa sa pwesto ang kalaban niya, hindi pa siya nanalo, halos nawipe-out pa ang TU (buti na lang LDP si Peewee kaya may isang nakalusot-si Angara), baka ibinulsa? Ganyang-ganyan yung istorya nung isang artistang binigyan ni Imelda ng P1M nung tumakbo ito sa Marikina. Natalo sa eleksiyon pero bumili ng Mercedes Benz. Ang kwento ipinasosoli ni Imelda yung P1M dahil kung ipinambili niya yun ng boto, wala siyang talo. Biglang inatake sa puso si artista, tepok.

    Tagilid na yung Gamblers’ Paradise ni Taba at Ephraim sa Reclamation Area, tigok na ang bata nila, bwahaha!

  21. chi chi

    Susmalosep, ang gulo ni Connie Dy. Ay naku, laban kung laban. Ang laki na ng pahirap nitong si Mike Pidal at kampon niya kay Peewee.

    Battle of wits, wala silang panalo sa inyo! Mga nanggugulo na lang sila, trademark ni Oinky!

  22. Cocoy, the exit poll is more reliable, than the hourly count. The exit poll, as long as it is done with competence and integrity, gives you a snapshot of the overall voting trend.

  23. cocoy cocoy

    Ellen;
    I hope Trillanes,Koko Pimentel and Allan Cayetano will build a commanding lead.I already like the 8 Go in the magic 12. I am worried about the outcome of Mindanao,their cheating machine is placed in that area especially when they let Nur Misuari out of jail,something is cooking.

  24. Ellen,

    Malakas dito si Kiko Pangilinan, and so was Ralph Recto, but I don’t think it is because Filipinos really like them but because of their wives. Puro artista ang choice ng mga DH, etc. na mga pilipino dito. Pati si Victor Wood nga naka-score dito. Mahirap kasi ang sistema. They should allow Filipinos in Japan to just vote for their favorite candidate and then declare the winners from the first high scorers among their choices next time they ask Filipinos to elect Senators for the OAV elections since not all Filipinos can be famiiar with all these candidates. It will also simplify counting for their ballots especially with a lot many apparently not interested to cast their votes.

  25. At this stage, kapag nawala pa si Sonny Trillanes sa Magic 12 e pihadong dinaya na iyan. But God will decide I tell you. He will not allow this to happen, because Sonny Trillanes has shown great faith in Him as well.

    You bet, Elvie, we should continue to pray for him and or the others in GO that they will remain in the Magic 12. 8-1-3 dito sa Japan. Malakas si Pangilinan dito kasi madalas pumunta si Sharon Cuneta dito. Puro artista ang gusto ng mga DH at Japayuki dito.

  26. Inquirer banner says, “Software problems’ slowing count — Namfrel”

    Beware! This may be another ploy of Namfrel to cheat for the Malacanang boggie.

    At least, they did not have any representative in the Japan OAV counting. Kami lang ang pollwatchers kaya walang daya over here. It’s 8-1-3 in Tokyo and 9-1-2 in Tokyo in favor of GO. Iyong 1 for independent Kiko that I learned from a friend got votes because the Filipinos here thought he was still with the Genuine Opposition.

    Filipinos here are always for the Opposition kaya nga when they said that Gloria won in Japan in 2004, we knew she cheated. 300 extra votes in Tokyo as a matter of fact. This time, protested agad ang questionable vote. may nakalusot pero talagang malakas ang GO.

    Will send the result to you Ellen later in the afternoon.

  27. nelbar nelbar

    Sa ibang bansa 48hrs after the election day ay nalalaman na agad ang over-all voters turn out.

    Dito sa Pilipinas hindi pa maliwanag, pati na ang botohan sa mga probinsya lalo na sa Mindanao ay may napabalitang postponement ng eleksyon.

    Sa Batangas may eskwelahan na sinusunog pa?

    Uso pa rin ang walang kakupas-kupas na harangan ng ballot boxes.

    Hindi pa talaga handa ang Pilipinas sa computerized election.

    Sa Pilipinas nauso ang people’s power pero sa ipinakikita nitong mga nagdaang linggo, malamang gagayahin ng mga taga ibang bansa(lalo na sa Africa) – ang “Democracy Philippines style”

  28. Dito sa Japan Nelbar, within an hour or two after closing the polls, alam na namin kung sinong nanalo. Diyan kasi Pilipinas, nilulutong makaw pa kaya kailangan ang pag-iingat. Sino ngayon ang dapat na magbantay? Di ang mga katulad mong may concern kung meron nga!

  29. Mrivera Mrivera

    galit na galit si benjamin abalaos sa dalawang giant stations na nagkakandak ng bilangan dahil ito raw ay nagdudulot ng trending kaya nakukundisyon ang utak ng mga tao na nagkakalat na ang mga kandidatong TUtae.

    todo sispe talaga ang hangal at kapag hindi raw tumigil ay kakasuhan ng kontemp op da kort op koleksiyon.

  30. Mrivera Mrivera

    “todo SIPSEP talaga ang hangal………”

  31. Mrivera Mrivera

    bakit wala sa listahan ng eksit pols si swabit swingson? hala kayo, magbibigti ‘yun!

  32. parasabayan parasabayan

    Tuloy ang dayaan! Watch the canvassing of the votes! Very critical pa ang bilangan. Marami pang milagro ang gagawin ng mga Alipores ni Blinky Tiyanak. Nag-strategize pa sila ng kanyang trio dogs-Abalos/Ebdame/Assperon! Tatawaging ng isa isa ang mga binigyan ng pera para tanungin bakit nagkaganoon ang resulta ng boto. Sabay bigay pa ng karagdagang pera at iyong “missing documents” ng Comolec para palitan ang mga resulta. Kaya ang canvassing ay naaantala dahil dito. Hocus focus muna! BANTAY MGA KAPATID!

  33. Magno:

    Si Singson magbibigti? No way! Magwawala, Yes! Baka magbaril-baril na ang ungas sa Ilocos! Iyong tipong amok ba? Kinana talaga ang Ilocanong iyan? Ikinahihiya ko siya! My mother, an Ilocana, is also ashamed of her race because of Singson!

  34. TonGuE-tWisTeD TonGuE-tWisTeD

    Maagang nag-operate si Chavit at Pichay sa Mindanao. Kita ninyo, nag-concede na agad si Garci. Nag-announce lang na open na ang serbisyo niya sa mga nangangailangan.

    Nakakagulat nga sa Saranggani, may mga bayan na 1 & 2 si Chavit at Pichay. Pero overall, sino ang number 1? Si Trillanes!

  35. Yuko,

    I will send the biggest wreath to the family of Chavit if Singson decides to magbigti!

  36. I don’t trust NAMFREL. The guys who make up NAMFREL may be people from big business but that’s precisely what makes them so vulnerable.

    Never trusted Joe Concepcion either! Pig Shit!

Leave a Reply